Pepperdine vs. Saint Mary's - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
Saint Mary's Gaels (24-7) at Pepperdine Waves (16-15)
College Basketball: Saturday, March 7, 2020 at 11:59 pm (Orleans Arena)
The Line: Saint Mary's Gaels -7.5 -- Over/Under:
The Pepperdine Waves and Saint Mary's Gaels meet Saturday in the college basketball WCC Tournament at the Orleans Arena.
The Pepperdine Waves look for another win after beating Santa Clara on Friday. The Pepperdine Waves are averaging 75.8 points on 43.4 percent shooting and allowing 76.8 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Colbey Ross is averaging 20.2 points and 7.3 assists while Kameron Edwards is averaging 16.7 points and 6.8 rebounds. Kessler Edwards is the third double-digit scorer and Skylar Chavez is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The Pepperdine Waves are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free throw line. The Pepperdine Waves are allowing 38.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.6 rebounds per game. The Pepperdine Waves have split their last six non-home games.
The Saint Mary's Gaels enter this tournament winning 10 of their last 14 games. The Saint Mary's Gaels are averaging 75.9 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 66.5 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Jordan Ford is averaging 20.8 points and 2.3 assists while Malik Fitts is averaging 16.6 points and 7.4 rebounds. Tanner Krebs is the third double-digit scorer and Matthias Tass is dishing 2.2 assists. The Saint Mary's Gaels are shooting 40.2 percent from beyond the arc and 75.4 percent from the free throw line. The Saint Mary's Gaels are allowing 33 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30 rebounds per game. The Saint Mary's Gaels have won four of their last six non-home games.
The Waves are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games, 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as an underdog. The Gaels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Waves last 6 neutral site games. The over is 19-7 in Gaels last 26 overall. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
The Saint Mary's Gaels are obviousl the better team and have the rest advantage, but the Pepperdine Waves have been money in the underdog role all season long and are 10-7 against the spread this season in non-home games. The Saint Mary's Gaels are just 8-12 against the spread when favorites of five or more points. We're also seeing the team that's played a game or two make things interesting against the rested better seed. Give me the points.