Virginia vs. Louisville - 3/7/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports
Louisville Cardinals (24-6) at Virginia Cavaliers (22-7)
College Basketball: Saturday, March 7, 2020 at 4:00 pm (John Paul Jones Arena)
The Line: Virginia Cavaliers -1 -- Over/Under: 112.5
The Louisville Cardinals and the Virginia Cavaliers meet in ACC college basketball action from the John Paul Jones Arena on Saturday afternoon.
The Louisville Cardinals will try to keep pace at the top of the ACC standings with a big road win after improving to 15-4 in conference play with a 68-52 win over Virginia Tech last time out. Jordan Nwora leads Louisville in scoring with 18 PPG as well as 7.6 RPG while Steven Enoch has 9.4 PPG and Dwayne Sutton has 9.3 PPG and a team-high 8.3 RPG this season. David Johnson also leads Louisville in assists with 2.8 APG this season. As a team, Louisville is averaging 74.7 points on 45.6% shooting from the field, 37.6% from 3-point range and 73% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 63.9 points on 38.9% shooting from the field and 30.2% from 3-point range this season. Louisville is 6-4 straight up and 4-5-1 against the spread on the road this season.
The Virginia Cavaliers will try to catch up to Louisville at the peak of the ACC mountain, sitting a game back at 14-5 after a 46-44 win over Miami last time out. Mamadi Diakite leads Virginia in scoring with 13.6 PPG while Kihei Clark is 2nd in scoring and tops in assists with 10.6 PPG and 5.9 APG and Braxton Key is averaging 10 PPG and a team-high 7.4 RPG this season. As a team, Virginia is averaging 57 points on 41.3% shooting from the field, 30.4% from 3-point range and 71.5% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 52.3 points on 36.9% shooting from the field and 29% from 3-point range this season. Virginia is 13-3 straight up and 6-10 against the spread at home this season.
The free point with Louisville is tempting as the Cardinals already own a win over Virginia this year and hung 80 points on that vaunted Cavalier defense. However, Louisville does a lot of their damage at home and the success while still there hasn’t come as easily on the road, and the points will be hard to come by here as the Cavaliers are allowing just 49.6 PPG at home this season. I just think that there’s a ton on the line position wise in this game, and home court may just be the edge, so I’ll lay the point with Virginia at home here.