Toledo vs. Western Michigan - 3/9/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports
Western Michigan Broncos (13-18) at Toledo Rockets (16-15)
College Basketball: Monday, March 9, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Savage Arena)
The Line: Toledo Rockets -8.5 -- Over/Under: 140.5
The Western Michigan Broncos and the Toledo Rockets meet in first round tournament MAC-tion in a college hoops matchup from Savage Arena on Monday night.
The Western Michigan Broncos enter the conference tournament as the #10-seed sitting at 6-12 in conference play as part of their 13-18 overall record this season. Michael Flowers leads the Broncos in scoring and assists with 16.4 PPG and 3.4 APG while Brandon Johnson is 2nd in scoring and tops in rebounding with 15.3 PPG and 8.1 RPG this season. As a team, Western Michigan is averaging 69.3 points on 42.8% shooting from the field, 33.8% from 3-point range and 71.3% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 71.9 points on 43.4% shooting from the field and 32.8% from 3-point range this season. Western Michigan is 3-11 straight up and 5-9 against the spread on the road this season.
The Toledo Rockets enter the conference tournament as the #7-seed, finishing the year with an 8-10 conference record as part of their 16-15 overall mark this season, winning out on a head-to-head tiebreaker with Ohio. Marreon Jackson leads the Rockets in scoring and assists with 19.7 PPG and 5.4 APG while Luke Knapke has 15.7 PPG and Willie Jackson is 3rd in scoring and tops in rebounding with 12 PPG and 11.8 RPG this season. Spencer Littleson is also averaging 10.8 PPG for Toledo this season. As a team, Toledo is averaging 74.5 points on 43.6% shooting from the field, 36.4% from 3-point range and 74.6% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 70 points on 41.8% shooting from the field and 34.6% from 3-point range this season. Toledo is 9-6 straight up and 3-11 against the spread at home this season.
Head-to-head, the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
Western Michigan really let me down in the last game of the regular season, getting beat down by a Central Michigan team that had lost 9 straight coming into that game, but it was a rivalry game and senior day so it happens. Toledo on the other hand was frustrating to back and home all season long, especially during conference play as the Rockets only started to figure out how to cover in their last couple of home games of the regular season. Toledo went 4-5 SU and 2-7 ATS in their 9 conference home games, including a win but no cover against WMU. If this game was on a neutral floor, I could find myself making a stronger case for laying points with Toledo, but at home, I think Western Michigan comes in and gives Toledo a bit of a run, so I’ll take a shot with the Broncos here.