Weber State vs. Sacramento State - 3/11/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
Sacramento State Hornets (15-14) at Weber State Wildcats (12-19)
College Basketball: Wednesday, March 11, 2020 at 11:30 am (CenturyLink Arena)
The Line: Weber State Wildcats +4.5 -- Over/Under: 132.5
The Weber State Wildcats and the Sacramento State Hornets meet in Big Sky conference college basketball action from the CenturyLink Arena on Wednesday morning.
The Sacramento State Hornets enter the conference tournament as the #9-seed, finishing with an 8-12 conference record as part of their 15-14 overall mark on the year. Joshua Patton leads Sacramento State in scoring and rebounding with 13.1 PPG and 5.7 RPG while Izayah Mauriohooho-Le’afa has 10.2 PPG and Bryce Fowler has 9.5 PPG and a team-high 3.5 APG this season. As a team, Sacramento State is averaging 63.2 points on 41.7% shooting from the field, 31.6% from 3-point range and 72% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 59.9 points on 41.8% shooting from the field and 32.6% from 3-point range this season.
The Weber State Wildcats finished the year with the #8-seed, also finishing with an 8-12 mark in conference play as part of their 12-19 overall record this season. Jerrick Harding led the Wildcats in the regular season with 21.9 PPG and 2.2 APG while Cody John added 14.9 PPG and Michal Kozak had 8.2 PPG and a team-high 5.4 RPG this season. As a team, Weber State is averaging 70 points on 45.5% shooting from the field, 32.6% from 3-point range and 72% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 71.5 points on 44.9% shooting from the field and 35.3% from 3-point range this season.
I think it’s safe to say that the Hornets have been the better defensive team up to this point, but with that said I feel this line is a bit off. I mean both sides split the two regular season meetings and over the last five games to finish the season, the Hornets allowed 68 PPG, well above their season average while Weber State averaged 76 PPG and allowed 75.2 PPG. I just think this is too many points in a game Weber State has a shot to win outright, so I’ll side with the Wildcats and the points in this one.