Florida State vs Duke College Basketball Picks, Odds, Predictions 3/11/21

The Duke Blue Devils and Florida State Seminoles meet Thursday in the college basketball ACC Quarterfinal at the Greensboro Coliseum.

The Duke Blue Devils look for another win after beating Louisville on Wednesday. The Duke Blue Devils are averaging 75.8 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 72.9 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Matthew Hurt is averaging 18.2 points and 6.3 rebounds while DJ Steward is averaging 13.2 points and 3.8 rebounds. Jalen Johnson is the third double-digit scorer and Jeremy Roach is grabbing 2.3 rebounds. The Duke Blue Devils are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 69.7 percent from the free throw line. The Duke Blue Devils are allowing 37.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.4 rebounds per game.

The Florida State Seminoles look for a win after winning five of their last seven games. The Florida State Seminoles are averaging 79.6 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 70.1 points on 40 percent shooting. M.J. Walker is averaging 13.1 points and 2.6 rebounds while RaiQuan Gray is averaging 12.4 points and 6.9 rebounds. Scottie Barnes is the third double-digit scorer and Anthony Polite is grabbing 4.2 rebounds. The Florida State Seminoles are shooting 38.5 percent from beyond the arc and 73.7 percent from the free throw line. The Florida State Seminoles are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.8 rebounds per game.

The Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. The Seminoles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss and 11-5-2 ATS in their last 18 neutral site games. The over is 34-16-1 in Blue Devils last 51 overall. The over is 18-7-2 in Seminoles last 27 overall. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

The Duke Blue Devils are capable of winning this game, but they’re now playing their third game in three days and going up against a quality defense. We could see tired legs from Duke and this is where the lack of rust really hurts. The Florida State Seminoles are rested and are winning their last five games by an average of seven points while allowing 37.8 percent shooting from the field. I’ll lay the small chalk with FSU because of the rest advantage.