Missouri State Bears (7-1) at Valparaiso Crusaders (3-6)
College Basketball: Sunday, January 10, 2021 at 2:00 pm (Athletics-Recreation Center)
The Line: Valparaiso Crusaders +3 -- Over/Under: 142.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds
The Missouri State Bears and the Valparaiso Crusaders meet in college basketball action from the Athletics-Recreation Center on Sunday afternoon.
The Missouri State Bears come into this one looking to add to their 7-1 mark on the year after an 81-68 win over Valparaiso last time out. Isiaih Mosley leads the Bears in scoring with 23 PPG to go along with 5.8 RPG while Gaige Prim is 2nd in scoring for Missouri State and tops in rebounding and assists with 17.6 PPG to go along with 9 RPG and 4 APG this season. Ja’Monta Black is 3rd in scoring with 13.4 PPG along with 3.8 RPG to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for Missouri State heading into Sunday’s rematch with Valpo while Keaton Hervey has 8.6 PPG along with 5.1 RPG this season. As a team, Missouri State is averaging 80.1 PPG on 50.3% shooting from the field, 35.5% from 3-point range and 71.3% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 70 PPG on 41.4% shooting from the field and 35.5% from 3-point range this season.
The Valparaiso Crusaders will look to bounce back after dropping Saturday’s game against Missouri State. Donovan Clay leads the Crusaders in scoring and rebounding with an average of 12.6 PPG and 5.2 RPG while Ben Krikke has 12.2 PPG with 4.2 RPG to make up the duo of double-digit scorers for Valparaiso up to this point in the season. Nick Robinson has 9.1 PPG with 3.6 RPG and Daniel Sackey has a team-high 3.9 APG this season. As a team, Valparaiso is averaging 71.1 PPG on 44% shooting from the field, 28.8% from 3-point range and 72.8% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 69 PPG on 41.3% shooting from the field and 32.3% from 3-point range this season.
Missouri State is 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games while the pver is 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win. Valparaiso is 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 19-8 in their last 27 home games.
I think you could make a case for either side here, as Missouri State’s been great against the number while Valparaiso has the trend on their side that teams that lose or don’t cover the first half of these back-to-back scenarios usually bounce back in the second half. However, I think the trend’s cooled off over the last week and Missouri State’s the better team side-by-side in this one. The low line feels a bit odd, but I’ve seen weird lines all season that still come in so I’ll lay the points with Missouri State in this spot.