College Basketball Picks

Florida State vs North Carolina College Basketball Picks, Odds, Predictions 3/12/21

Florida State vs North Carolina College Basketball Picks, Odds, Predictions 3/12/21
2021-03-12 21:00:00 EDT

The North Carolina Tar Heels and the Florida State Seminoles meet in an ACC conference tournament semi-final matchup from the Greensboro Coliseum on Friday night.

The North Carolina Tar Heels booked their spot in the semis by virtue of a 81-73 win over Virginia Tech last time out. R.J. Davis led the Tar Heels in scoring with 19 points on 6 of 10 shooting with 4 threes while Armando Bacot has 17 points on 7 of 9 shooting with 13 rebounds for the double-double and Day’Ron Sharpe had 10 points with 6 rebounds to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for North Carolina in the winning effort. Leaky Black had 8 points with a pair of threes and 3 assists while Walker Kessler added 7 rebounds as well in the victory for the Tar Heels.

The Florida State Seminoles coasted through the quarters as their matchup with Duke was cancelled due to someone in the Blue Devils program testing positive for COVID-19. M.J. Walker leads the Seminoles in scoring with 13.1 PPG while Raiquan Gray has 12.4 PPG and a team-high 6.9 RPG to lead the Seminoles in rebounding and Scottie Barnes has 10.4 PPG to make up the trio of double-digit scorers for FSU this season while also logging a team-high 4.3 APG to lead the ‘Noles in the assist department. Anthony Polite has 9.6 PPG with 4.2 RPG and Balsa Koprivica has 8.7 PPG and 5.4 RPG this season. As a team, Florida State is averaging 79.6 PPG on 47.2% shooting from the field, and 38.5% from three while allowing 70.1 PPG on 40% shooting from the field and 33.9% from three this season.

North Carolina is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite. Florida State is 11-5-2 ATS in their last 18 neutral site games and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 18-7-2 in their lsat 27 games overall. The favorite is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two teams.

I think a case could be made for either side here, as North Carolina’s been so good and are looking like the tournament team that we always see show up come this time of year, while there’s something that feels off about leaving points on the table with Florida State as I think this could be a two point game. With that said, I think we see a high-scoring game here and I could easily see both sides getting into the high-70s or low 80s here, so give me the over here in what should be a thriller.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 151

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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