San Diego State vs Boise State College Basketball Picks, Odds, Predictions 2/25/21

The Boise State Broncos and the San Diego State Aztecs meet in college basketball action from the Viejas Arena on Thursday night.

The Boise State Broncos will be out to build off of an 81-77 win at home over Utah State last time out. Derrick Alston Jr. leads the Broncos in scoring with 17.7 PPG while Abu Kigab has 12.8 PPG with 5.7 RPG and Marcus Shaver Jr. has 11.1 PPG to make up the group of double-digit scorers for Boise State up to this point in the season. Rayj Dennis has 9.2 PPG with a team-high 3.1 APG and Mladen Armus has 7.8 PPG to match his team-high 7.8 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Boise State is averaging 77.8 PPG on 46.5% shooting from the field, 35.1% from 3-point range and 73.8% from the foul line while allowing 65 PPG on 42.4% shooting from the field and 31.4% from 3-point land this season.

The San Diego State Aztecs will look to build on their 75-57 win over Fresno State in their last matchup. Matt Mitchell leads the Aztecs in scoring with 15.1 PPG and 5.3 RPG while Jordan Schakel has 14.6 PPG with 4 RPG as the only other double-digit scorer for San Diego State up to this point in the season. Nathan Mensah has 8.8 PPG with a team-high 6.4 RPG while Terrell Gomez has 8.4 PPG with 2.5 APG and Trey Pulliam has 6.1 PPG and a team-high 3.2 APG to lead San Diego State in assists up to this point in the season. As a team, San Diego State is averaging 75 PPG on 46.1% shooting from the field, 38.7% from 3-point range and 70.6% from the foul line while allowing 59.8 PPG on 39% shooting from the field and 33.1% from 3-point range this season.

Boise State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall. San Diego State is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a win while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record. The favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

I think I’ll be the first to admit how high I’ve been on Boise State for much of the season and they’ve made me a pretty penny. However, a lot of that success came at home and on the road against legit competition like Nevada and Colorado State, the Broncos have dropped three of their last four games outright. San Diego State continues to play suffocating defense and have had no issues knocking teams off at home, so I’ll lay the points with San Diego State in another clinic here.