Incarnate Word vs Houston Baptist College Basketball Picks, Odds, Predictions 1/27/21

pThe Houston Baptist Huskies and the Incarnate Word Cardinals meet in college basketball action from the Alice P. McDermott Convocation Center on Wednesday last time out.

The Houston Baptist Huskies will look to rebound from a narrow 74-71 loss to McNeese State last time out. Pedro Castro leads the Huskies in scoring with 14 PPG and 7.1 RPG while Za-Ontay Boothman has 11.9 PPG to make up the duo of double-digit scorers for Houston Baptist up to this point in the season. Darius Less has 7.9 PPG while Hunter Janacek has 6.9 PPG with a team-high 2.6 APG this season. As a team, Houston Baptist is averaging 72.4 PPG on 44.1% shooting from the field, 38.3% from 3-point range and 74.5% from the foul line while allowing 82.8 PPG on 47.9% shooting from the field and 33% from 3-point range this season.

The Incarnate Word Cardinals will look to build off of a 72-53 win over Texas A&M Corpus Christi last time out. Keaston Willis leads the Cardinals in scoring with 19.6 PPG as the lone Incarnate Word player to score in double figures coming into this matchup. Marcus Larsson has 9.3 PPG with a team-high 7.6 RPG while Drew Lutz has 9 PPG with 3.8 APG this season. As a team, Incarnate Word is averaging 72.3 PPG on 47.5% shooting from the field, 38.5% from 3-point range and 67.1% from the foul line while allowing 71.6 PPG on 45.9% shooting from the field and 28.8% from 3-point range this season.

Houston Baptist is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss. Incarnate Word is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record while the over is 10-3 in their last 13 games overall. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

I get why the Cardinals would be favored here against the Huskies as a .500 team against an HBU team with just two wins all year. However, the Huskies may only have two wins with an 0-8 record on the road, but they’ve also gone 6-1 ATS on the road this season. The Huskies don’t have much to play for at this point except pride but that’s been the story all year long and the Huskies keep covering. Give me Houston Baptist and the points in this one.