Sweet 16 Picks: Baylor vs Villanova 3/27/21 College Basketball Picks, Odds, Predictions

The Baylor Bears battle the Villanova Wildcats Saturday in March Madness college basketball NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 at the Hinkle Fieldhouse.

The Villanova Wildcats look for another win after beating Winthrop and North Texas in their first two rounds. The Villanova Wildcats are averaging 75.8 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 66.9 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Jeremiah Robinson-Earl is averaging 16 points and 8.4 rebounds while Collin Gillespie is averaging 14 points and 3.3 rebounds. Justin Moore is the third double-digit scorer and Jermaine Samuels is grabbing 6.3 rebounds. The Villanova Wildcats are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free throw line. The Villanova Wildcats are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.4 rebounds per game.

The Baylor Bears look for another win after beating Hartford and Wisconsin in their first two rounds. The Baylor Bears are averaging 85.3 points on 49.7 percent shooting and allowing 65.6 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Jared Butler is averaging 17 points and 3.3 rebounds while MaCio Teague is averaging 16.4 points and 4.2 rebounds. Davion Mitchell is the third double-digit scorer and Adam Flagler is grabbing 2.4 rebounds. The Baylor Bears are shooting 42.9 percent from beyond the arc and 68.6 percent from the free throw line. The Baylor Bears are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.7 rebounds per game.

The Wildcats are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 neutral site games and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. The Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. The over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 neutral site games. The over is 12-2 in Bears last 14 overall.

The Baylor Bears have been a winning and covering machine dating back to last season and you probably shouldn’t be eager to bet against them. However, the Villanova Wildcats played some impressive ball through the first two rounds and shoot the ball well enough from the outside to give this Baylor defense issues. Also, this will be the first time all season Villanova is an underdog. Villanova has only been an underdog four times since December of 2019. You’re also giving Jay Wright nearly a week to game plan. I’ll take my chances with the free points and the Wildcats.