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Mississippi State vs Louisville 11/25/21 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets and Odds

Louisville Cardinals (3-1) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-0)
November 25, 2021 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs -1 / Louisville Cardinals +1; Over/Under: +132
(Get latest betting odds)

The Louisville Cardinals and Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Thursday in college basketball action at the Baha Mar Convention Center. The Louisville Cardinals look to build on their 3-1 record. The Mississippi State Bulldogs look to get off to a solid 5-0 start.

The Louisville Cardinals are averaging 73.5 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allowing 66.8 points on 38.1 percent shooting. Noah Locke is averaging 16 points and 2.5 rebounds, while Matt Cross is averaging 9 points and 2.5 rebounds. Jae’Lyn Withers is dishing 0.8 assists and Jae’Lyn Withers is grabbing 5.8 rebounds. The Louisville Cardinals are shooting 31.4 percent from beyond the arc and 67.6 percent from the free throw line. The Louisville Cardinals are allowing 32.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 76 points on 52 percent shooting and allowing 52 points on 34.2 percent shooting. Iverson Molinar is averaging 15.8 points and 5.3 assists, while Shakeel Moore is averaging 13.8 points and 2.3 rebounds. Garrison Brooks is the third double-digit scorer and DJ Jeffries is grabbing 5.3 rebounds. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are shooting 45.7 percent from beyond the arc and 62.1 percent from the free throw line. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are allowing 30.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game.

The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Bulldogs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games. The under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite. The over is 6-2 in Bulldogs last 8 neutral site games.

These aren’t the most talented Louisville Cardinals team we’ve seen over the years, and they’ve had issues against subpar teams already. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are quietly off to an undefeated start, and they’ve been a flamethrower offensively, particularly from deep. You could argue the Bulldogs should be bigger favorites. I’ll gladly side with Miss State here.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs -1

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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