College Basketball Picks

Michigan vs San Diego State 12/4/21 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

San Diego State Aztecs (5-2) vs. Michigan Wolverines (4-3)
December 4, 2021 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Michigan Wolverines -7.5 / San Diego State Aztecs +7.5; Over/Under: 126.5
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The San Diego State Aztecs will travel to the Crisler Center to take on the 24th ranked Michigan Wolverines this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.

The San Diego State Aztecs improved to 5-2 on the season after defeating the Long Beach State Beach, 72-47, this past Tuesday. San Diego State was outstanding on the defensive end against Long Beach State and had no trouble securing the victory after going into halftime with a 35-21 lead. San Diego State shot 43.3% from the field & 33.3% from beyond the arc while holding Long Beach State to just 32.7% shooting from the field & 0.0% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Aztecs was Trey Pulliam who had 16 points, 1 rebounds, 5 assists, & 2 steals.

On the season, San Diego State is averaging 63.9 ppg on 40.7% shooting from the field. The Aztecs are averaging 4.9 three-pointers per game on 27.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, San Diego State has been led by Matt Bradley (13.0 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 2.0 apg), Trey Pulliam (10.9 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 3.6 apg, 1.1 spg), Lamont Butler (9.7 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 2.0 apg, 2.0 spg), & Nathan Mensah (8.1 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 2.3 bpg).

Defensively, San Diego State is holding their opponents to an average of 57.9 ppg on 37.7% shooting from the field. The Aztecs have a rebound margin of -0.4 and a turnover margin of 1.3.

The Michigan Wolverines dropped to 4-3 on the season after being defeated by the North Carolina Tar Heels, 72-51, this past Wednesday. Michigan trailed by a 29-27 margin at halftime and could not fight back after North Carolina took a 48-35 lead with 10:18 left in regulation. Michigan shot 35.1% from the field & 31.3% from beyond the arc while allowing North Carolina to shoot 46.3% from the field & 42.1% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Wolverines was Eli Brooks who had 11 points, 6 rebounds, 3 assists, & 2 steals.

On the season, Michigan is averaging 68.9 ppg on 46.1% shooting from the field. The Wolverines are averaging 5.3 three-pointers per game on 29.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Michigan has been led by Eli Brooks (15.0 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 2.6 apg, 1.3 spg), Hunter Dickinson (13.3 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 1.9 apg, 1.1 bpg), Caleb Houstan (8.7 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 1.6 apg), & DeVante’ Jones (6.7 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 3.9 apg).

Defensively, Michigan is allowing their opponents to average 65.6 ppg on 40.0% shooting from the field. The Wolverines have a rebound margin of 6.4 and a turnover margin of -4.3.

The Aztecs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points & 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games. The Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall & 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.

San Diego State has struggled a bit on the offensive end this season as the Aztecs rank just 309th in scoring offense & 294th in FG%, however, the Aztecs are once against outstanding defensively as the come into this game ranked t-22nd in scoring defense & 28th in defensive FG%. Michigan has struggled on the offensive end to start this season as they come into this game ranked just 238th in scoring offense & 320th in three-pointers made per game and have also struggled winning the turnover battle as the Wolverines rank just 324th in turnover margin.

Michigan has to be concerned about their offense after putting up just 51 points against a North Carolina defense that has been giving up points in bunches to start the season and although the Aztecs certainly have their own question marks in terms of offense, as I think their defense gives Michigan trouble in this one, I think San Diego State does enough with the points to cover. Good Luck!

Brett Nault's Free Pick: San Diego State Aztecs +7.5

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Brett Nault

Brett has been involved with sports his entire life, whether playing them or betting on them, and loves using his education in data analytics to break down all matchups to get you a competitive edge. Follow Brett Nault on Twitter @BrettCU05

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