College Basketball Picks

Missouri State vs BYU 12/4/21 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

BYU Cougars (6-1) vs. Missouri State Bears (4-3)
December 4, 2021 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: Missouri State Bears +3 / BYU Cougars -3; Over/Under: +138
(Get latest betting odds)

The BYU Cougars and the Missouri State Bears meet in college basketball action from the JQH Arena on Saturday afternoon.

The BYU Cougars come into this game looking to shake off a 72-65 loss to the Utah Valley Wolverines in OT in their last game. Alex Barcello leads the Cougars in scoring with 18.3 PPG along with 3.3 APG while Te’Jon Lucas has 11.1 PPG with a team-high 5.4 APG as the only other double-digit scorer for BYU so far this season. Spencer Johnson has 9 PPG and Caleb Lohner has a team-high 7.7 RPG as well this season. As a team, BYU is averaging 76.3 PPG on 44.9% shooting from the field, 29.9% from three and 71.1% from the foul line while allowing 61.3 PPG on 38% shooting from the field and 22.8% from three this season.

The Missouri State Bears will be looking to bounce back from a 79-74 OT loss to Illinois State last time out. Gaige Prim leads the Bears in scoring and rebounding, averaging a double-double per game with 20 PPG and 10.6 RPG as well as 2.1 APG. Isiaih Mosley has 18.3 PPG and 5.1 RPG and Jaylen Minnett has 12.8 PPG to make up the group of double-digit scorers for Missouri State so far this season. Donovan Clay and Ja’Monta Black each have 8+ PPG as well this season. As a team, Missouri State is averaging 80.4 PPG on 48.7% shooting from the field, 38% from three and 79.7% from the foul line while allowing 70 PPG on 42.4% shooting from the field and 38.2% from three this season.

BYU is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a loss and 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 road games while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall. Missouri State is 25-12-2 ATS in their last 39 games overall and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog while the under is 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.

This is a bit of an interesting matchup as BYU is coming off of that crushing loss to Utah Valley which kind of killed any momentum that they had up to that point, but the Bears have been so inconsistent with the win one lose one results that they’ve yet to taste consistency really. Instead, I’m going to side with the over. These are two teams that have been getting into the 70s on offense with regularity and I think this game is no different as at least one (likely BYU) gets into the 80s here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 138

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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