College Basketball Picks

New Mexico vs New Mexico State 12/6/21 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

New Mexico State Aggies (6-2) vs. New Mexico Lobos (5-3)
December 6, 2021 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: New Mexico Lobos +3 / New Mexico State Aggies -3 ; Over/Under: 151.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New Mexico State Aggies will travel to The Pit to take on he New Mexico Lobos this Monday night in College Basketball action.

The New Mexico State Aggies improved to 6-2 on the season after defeating the UTEP Miners, 72-69, this past Friday. New Mexico State was outstanding on the offensive end against the UTEP and was able to hold off the Miners for the victory after taking a 69-66 lead with :45 seconds left in regulation. New Mexico State shot 56.6% from the field & 40.0% from beyond the arc while holding UTEP to 41.7% shooting from the field & 36.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Aggies was Sir’Jabari Rice who had 19 points, 5 rebounds, 3 assists, & 2 blocks.

On the season, New Mexico State is averaging 76.5 ppg on 47.8% shooting from the field. The Aggies are averaging 9.6 three-pointers per game on 36.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, New Mexico State has been led by Teddy Allen (18.0 ppg, 6.0 rpg, 1.6 apg), Sir’Jabari Rice (14.1 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 3.5 apg), Will McNair Jr. (9.1 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 1.8 apg), Johnny McCants (8.5 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 1.9 apg).

Defensively, New Mexico State is allowing their opponents to an average of 71.8 ppg on 42.1% shooting from the field. The Aggies have a rebound margin of 3.9 and a turnover margin of -2.5.

The New Mexico Lobos had their 2-game losing streak snapped and dropped to 5-3 on the season after defeating the New Mexico State Aggies, 101-94, this past Tuesday. New Mexico had no trouble putting up points against the New Mexico State defense and was able to hold off the Aggies for the victory after going into halftime with a 49-42 lead. New Mexico shot 46.8% from the field & 40.0% from beyond the arc while allowing New Mexico State to shoot 46.8% from the field & 29.0% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Lobos was Jaelen House who had 31 points, 4 rebounds, & 5 assists.

On the season, New Mexico is averaging 82.8 ppg on 46.6% shooting from the field. The Lobos are averaging 8.5 three-pointers per game on 39.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, New Mexico has been led by Jamal Mashburn Jr. (20.4 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 2.3 apg), Jaelen House (18.4 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 4.6 apg, 2.0 spg), Javonte Johnson (10.0 ppg, 5.4 rpg), Gethro Muscadin (9.6 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 1.0 spg, 1.4 bpg).

Defensively, New Mexico is allowing their opponents to average 79.2 ppg on 45.2% shooting from beyond the arc. The Lobos have a rebound margin of -7.1 and a turnover margin of 45.2.

The Aggies are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 & 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. The Lobos are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win & 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

New Mexico State has been led by their offense this season, which ranks 107th in scoring offense & 52nd in FG%, however the defense at times has struggled as they come into this game ranked just 235th in scoring defense. New Mexico has also been led by their offense which ranks 28th in scoring offense & 84th in FG%, however, the defense has struggled slowing down opposing offenses as the Lobos currently rank just 324th in scoring defense.

New Mexico was able to get the win at New Mexico State behind an incredible offensive performance, however, I still think the Aggies are the better team when comparing the two teams and as I think the Aggies get some revenge against their in-state rivals, I’m taking New Mexico State to cover this small road spread. Good Luck!

Brett Nault's Free Pick: New Mexico State Aggies -3

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Brett Nault

Brett has been involved with sports his entire life, whether playing them or betting on them, and loves using his education in data analytics to break down all matchups to get you a competitive edge. Follow Brett Nault on Twitter @BrettCU05

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