Arkansas-Little Rock vs Missouri State 12/8/21 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Missouri State Bears and the Little Rock Trojans meet in college basketball action from the Jack Stephens Center on Wednesday night.

The Missouri State Bears will look to rebound from a 74-68 loss to BYU in their last matchup. Gaige Prim leads the Bears in scoring and rebounding by averaging a double-double per game with 19.6 PPG and 10 RPG while Isiaih Moore has 16 PPG with 4.6 RPG and Jaylen Minnett has 13.8 PPG to make up the trio of double-digit scorers for Missouri State up to this point in the season. As a team, Missouri State is averaging 78.9 PPG on 47.6% shooting from the field, 37% from three and 78.3% shooting from the foul line while allowing 70.5 PPG on 43.1% shooting from the field and 36.7% from three this season.

The Little Rock Trojans will try to snap a three-game losing skid after a 93-78 loss to Arkansas in their last game. Isaiah Palermo leads the Trojans in scoring with 12.9 PPG with 3.9 RPG while Nikola Maric has 12.8 PPG with 6.5 RPG and 3 APG this season. DeAntoni Gordon has 10.4 PPG while Jovan Stulic and Marko Lukic each have 9+ PPG as well ths season. Kevin Osawe has 8.6 PPG with 5.4 RPG and D.J. Smith has 2.6 APG. As a team, Little Rock is averaging 73.3 PPG on 44.7% shooting from the field, 31% from three and 72.1% from the foul line while allowing 72.4 PPG on 46.1% shooting from the field and 34.2% from three this season.

Missouri State is 10-2-2 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite and 20-7-3 ATS in their last 30 road games while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss. Little Rock is 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog while the under is 11-0 in their last 11 home games.

I get the Bears being favored, but this feels like a little bit much to me if I’m being honest. Sure, Little Rock’s had just one line game of three games at home this season, but they still mashed out a cover in that game. Missouri State lost their first true road game outright despite laying six points in that game and while Illinois State is a tougher customer than Little Rock, I think this is a bit much. Give me Little Rock and the points here.