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Stephen F. Austin vs UTRGV 1/11/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

UTRGV Vaqueros (5-10) vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (9-5)
January 11, 2022 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -12.5 / UTRGV Vaqueros +12.5 ; Over/Under: 150.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros will travel to William R. Johnson Coliseum to take on the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks this Tuesday night in College Basketball action.

The UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 5-10 on the season after being defeated by the New Mexico State Aggies, 85-73, this past Saturday. UT Rio Grande Valley struggled defensively against New Mexico State and could not fight back after the Aggies took a 67-53 lead with 11:02 left in regulation. UT Rio Grande Valley shot 39.7% from the field & 30.6% from beyond the arc while allowing New Mexico State to shoot 48.4% from the field & 39.1% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Vaqueros was Xavier Johnson who had 20 points & 1 assist in 27 minutes from off the bench.

On the season, UT Rio Grande Valley is averaging 72.5 ppg on 44.5% shooting from the field. The Vaqueros are averaging 6.7 three-pointers per game on 32.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, UT Rio Grande Valley has been led by Justin Johnson (16.9 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 2.7 apg), Marek Nelson (11.1 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 2.4 apg, 2.1 spg), Ricky Nelson (9.7 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 4.2 apg), & Mike Adewunmi (9.4 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 1.1 apg).

Defensively, UT Rio Grande Valley is allowing their opponents to an average of 78.8 ppg on 44.9% shooting from the field. The Vaqueros have a rebound margin of -5.8 and a turnover margin of -0.9.

The Stephen F. Austin dropped to 9-5 on the season after being defeated by the Tarleton Texans, 77-71 (OT), this past Saturday. Stephen F. Austin led for most of the game, however, Tarleton was able to force OT and the Texans were able to easily pull away in OT for the victory after a 6-0 run gave Tarleton a 76-69 lead with just :10 seconds left in OT. Stephen F. Austin shot 48.2% from the field & 27.3% from beyond the arc while allowing Tarleton to shoot 41.0% from the field & 7.1% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Lumberjacks was Nigel Hawkins who had a double-double with 22 points, 10 rebounds, & 1 assist.

On the season, Stephen F. Austin is averaging 76.0 ppg on 48.9% shooting from the field. The Lumberjacks are averaging 6.6 three-pointers per game on 37.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Stephen F. Austin has been led by Gavin Kensmil (15.2 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.1 spg), David Kachelries (11.2 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 4.6 apg, 1.3 spg), Sadaidriene Hall (10.0 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.2 spg, 1.4 bpg), & Nigel Hawkins (9.5 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 1.3 apg).

Defensively, Stephen F. Austin is allowing their opponents to an average of 71.1 ppg on 44.0% shooting from the field. The Lumberjacks have a rebound margin of 3.6 and a turnover margin of -0.2.

The Vaqueros are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games and just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games vs. WAC opponents. The Lumberjacks are 5-5 ATS on the season and just 1-2 ATS in their last 3 home games.

UT Rio Grande Valley has been led by their offense which ranks 172nd in scoring offense & 164th in FG%, however, the Vaqueros have struggled defensively and come into this matchup ranked just 334th in scoring defense & 284th in defensive FG%. Stephen F. Austin has been led by their offense which ranks 91st in scoring offense, 19th in FG%, & 37th in 3P-FG%, however, the Lumberjacks have had some trouble keeping opponents off the scoreboard as they come into this game ranked just 237th in scoring defense & 248th in defensive FG%.

UT Rio Grande Valley has lost 8 of their last 9 games and it hasn’t been pretty for the Vaqueros as those losses have come by an average of 11.9 ppg. Stephen F. Austin is a solid team that gave Kansas everything they could handle recently and as I think the Lumberjacks offense is going to have no trouble putting up plenty of points at home against a poor UT Rio Grande Valley defense, I’m taking Stephen F. Austin to cover this double-digit home spread. Good Luck!

Brett Nault's Free Pick: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -12.5

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Brett Nault

Brett has been involved with sports his entire life, whether playing them or betting on them, and loves using his education in data analytics to break down all matchups to get you a competitive edge. Follow Brett Nault on Twitter @BrettCU05

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