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Appalachian State vs Arkansas State 1/27/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

Arkansas State Red Wolves (13-4) vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers (12-9)
January 27, 2022 6:30 pm EDT
The Line: Appalachian State Mountaineers -4 / Arkansas State Red Wolves +4; Over/Under: 133.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Arkansas State Red Wolves will travel to the Homes Convocation Center to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers this Thursday night in College Basketball action.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves won their 3rd straight game and improved to 13-4 on the season after defeating the Texas State Bobcats, 67-60, this past Saturday. Arkansas State was outstanding on both ends of the court early in the 2nd half against Texas State and was able to hold off the Bobcats for the victory after taking a 46-35 lead with 14:43 left in regulation. Arkansas State shot 48.3% from the field & 27.3% from beyond the arc while allowing Texas State to shoot 47.1% from the field & 30.8% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Red Wolves was Norchad Omier who had a double-double with 23 points, 13 rebounds, 1 assist, 3 blocks, & 1 steal.

On the season, Arkansas State is averaging 75.0 ppg on 47.1% shooting from the field. The Red Wolves are averaging 5.5 three-pointers per game on 32.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Arkansas State has been led by Norchad Omier (17.1 ppg, 11.3 rpg, 1.2 apg, 1.4 spg, 2.2 bpg), Desi Sills (14.2 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 3.4 apg, 1.9 spg), Marquis Eaton (12.9 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 3.6 apg), & Caleb Fields (8.5 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 5.0 apg, 1.2 spg).

Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing their opponents to average 68.9 ppg on 43.3% shooting from the field. The Red Wolves have a rebound margin of 2.9 and a turnover margin of 0.4.

The Appalachian State Mountaineers won their 4th straight game and improved to 12-9 on the season after defeating the Georgia Southern Panthers, 70-62, this past Saturday. Appalachian State was outstanding on the offensive end against Georgia Southern and was able pull away late in the 2nd half for the victory after taking a 66-57 lead with 1:40 left in regulation. Appalachian State shot 51.9% from the field & 38.1% from beyond the arc while allowing Georgia Southern to shoot 47.8% from the field & 19.0% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Mountaineers was Adrian Delph who had 24 points, 3 rebounds, & 3 assists.

On the season, Appalachian State is averaging 67.5 ppg on 42.0% shooting from the field. The Mountaineers are averaging 7.9 three-pointers per game on 31.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Appalachian State has been led by Adrian Delph (17.4 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.0 spg), Michael Almonacy (9.8 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 3.5 apg, 1.0 spg), Donovan Gregory (9.5 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.2 spg), & Justin Forrest (8.9 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 2.3 apg).

Defensively, Appalachian State is holding their opponents to an average of 63.3 ppg on 42.6% shooting from the field. The Mountaineers have a rebound margin of 0.9 and a turnover margin of 2.3.

The Red Wolves are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games, however, are just 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games vs. Appalachian State. The Mountaineers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games, however, are just 3-5 ATS at home on the season.

Arkansas State has been led by their offense which ranks t-96th in scoring offense & 46th in FG%, however, the defense has struggled a bit as although the Red Wolves have created a good number of turnovers, the Red Wolves currently rank just 171st in scoring defense & 205th in defensive FG%. Appalachian State has been led by their defense which ranks 45th in scoring defense & 66th in turnover margin, however, the offense has struggled to put up points and currently rank just 278th in scoring offense & 276th in FG%.

Appalachian State has been solid as of late, which includes winning three straight road games, however, Arkansas State is one of the better Sub Belt teams and in terms of talent, I think the Red Wolves are better. I expect Arkansas State to find some success on the offensive end against the tough Appalachian State defense and as I this game should come down to the wire, I think the play here is to take Arkansas State and the points. Good Luck!

Brett Nault's Free Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves +4

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Brett Nault

Brett has been involved with sports his entire life, whether playing them or betting on them, and loves using his education in data analytics to break down all matchups to get you a competitive edge. Follow Brett Nault on Twitter @BrettCU05

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