Alabama vs Mississippi State 2/16/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Alabama Crimson Tide meet in college basketball action from the Coleman Coliseum on Wednesday night.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs will look to bounce back from a 69-65 loss to LSU last time out. Iverson Molinar leads the Bulldogs in scoring and assists with 18.4 PPG and 3.9 APG while Garrison Brooks has 11.5 PPG with a team-high 6.9 RPG to lead the Bulldogs on the glass and  to cap off the pair of double-digit scorers for Mississippi State so far this season. D.J. Jeffries has 9.7 PPG and 4.7 RPG and Shakeel Moore has 9.4 PPG as well this season. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 72.7 PPG on 46.9% shooting from the field, 31.9% from three and 72% from the foul line while allowing 66.7 PPG on 43.3% shooting from the field and 33.4% from three this season.

The Alabama Crimson Tide will try to build on back-to-back wins after a 68-67 win over Arkansas last time out. Jaden Shackelford leads the Tide in scoring with 17.3 PPG along with 5.6 RPG while Jahvon Quinerly has 13.9 PPG with 3.3 RPG and a team-high 4.4 APG to lead the Tide in assists. Keon Ellis has 11.6 PPG with a team-high 6 RPG to lead the Tide on the glass and to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Alabama so far this year. As a team, Alabama is averaging 80.4 PPG on 44.6% shooting from the field, 31.2% from three and 71.7% from the foul line while allowing 75.5 PPG on 43.1% shooting from the field and 32.1% from three this season.

Mississippi State is 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS win and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games against a team with a home winning percentage above .600 while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. Alabama is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games and 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall while the over is 9-2 in their last 11 games following a win.

I get the case to be made either way here, but it’s hard to lay points with Alabama here even though both sides have been struggling. The Tide just haven’t been able to cover numbers at home and while Mississippi State’s had issues on the road, they’ve been competitive in spots and I think this ends up being a tight affair from start to finish, so give me the Bulldogs and the points here.