San Diego State vs Fresno State 3/10/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Fresno State Bulldogs & San Diego State Aztecs will square off at the Thomas & Mack Center this Thursday night in the Quarterfinals of the Mountain West Championship.

The 6-seed Fresno State Bulldogs improved to 19-12 on the season after defeating the San Jose State Spartans, 69-67 (OT), this past Wednesday. Fresno State had all they could handle from the San Jose State, who forced OT on a Omari Moore layup late in regulation, however, the Bulldogs were able to avoid the upset after Jordan Campbell hit a game-winning jumper for Fresno State with just :03 seconds left in OT. Fresno State shot 41.1% from the field & 17.4% from beyond the arc while allowing San Jose State to shoot 49.1% from the field & 45.5% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was Orlando Robinson who had 31 points, 6 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal, & 1 block.

Coming into their game against San Jose State, Fresno State was averaging 65.1 ppg on 44.2% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs were averaging 6.7 three-pointers per game on 33.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Fresno State has been led by Orlando Robinson (19.2 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 2.8 apg, 1.0 spg, 1.3 bpg), Isaiah Hill (10.2 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.0 spg), Anthony Holland (9.6 ppg, 6.0 rpg, 1.6 apg), & Jordan Campbell (7.0 ppg, 2.9 rpg).

Defensively, prior to their game against San Jose State, Fresno State was holding their opponents to an average of 58.4 ppg on 40.7% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs had a rebound margin of 4.2 and a turnover margin of 1.0.

The San Diego State Aztecs finished their regular season with an overall record of 21-7 and earned the 3-seed in the Mountain West Championship after finishing conference play with a 13-4 conference record. San Diego State finished their non-conference portion of their schedule with a 8-3 record with their best wins coming against Arizona State & Saint Mary’s. San Diego State was solid throughout Mountain West play and come into this game winning 9 of their last 10 games which includes wins against Wyoming & Utah State.

On the season, San Diego State is averaging 66.3 ppg on 43.5% shooting from the field. The Aztecs are averaging 6.1 three-pointers per game on 35.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, San Diego State has been led by Matt Bradley (17.8 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 2.7 apg, 1.1 spg), Trey Pulliam (8.4 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 3.4 apg, 1.1 spg), Keshad Johnson (7.8 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.0 apg), & Lamont Butler (7.2 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.9 spg).

Defensively, San Diego State is holding their opponents to an average of 58.2 ppg on 37.9% shooting from the field. The Aztecs have a rebound margin of 2.3 and a turnover margin of 1.8.

The Bulldogs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss, however, are just 16-36-1 ATS in their last 53 neutral site games. The Aztecs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record & 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

San Diego State defeated Fresno State in both of their regular season matchups this season as the Aztecs defeated the Bulldogs by a 61-44 margin on the road in mid-February and by a 65-64 (2OT) margin at home last week.

Fresno State has been led by their defense which ranks 3^rd in scoring defense, 42^nd in defensive FG%, & 62^nd in rebound margin, however, the offense comes into this game ranked just 312^th in scoring offense. San Diego State is also led by there defense which ranks 2^nd in scoring defense & 3^rd in defensive FG%, however, like the Bulldogs, have struggled on the offensive end and ranked just 292^nd in scoring offense & 217^th in FG%. Fresno State struggled against San Jose State, however, this is still a solid team who has a great player in Orlando Robinson and as I expect Fresno State to keep this one a low-scoring, competitive game, I’m taking Fresno State and the points. Good Luck!