Tulane Green Wave (14-14) vs. Houston Cougars (27-5)
March 12, 2022 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Cougars -12.5 / Tulane Green Wave +12.5; Over/Under: +134
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The Tulane Green Wave and Houston Cougars meet Saturday in the college basketball AAC Semifinal at the Dickies Arena. The Tulane Green Wave look to get a game above a .500 record. The Houston Cougars look for a win after winning seven of their last eight games.
The Tulane Green Wave are averaging 73.6 points on 43.9 percent shooting and allowing 71.6 points on 42.1 percent shooting. Jalen Cook is averaging 18 points and 2.5 rebounds, while Jaylen Forbes is averaging 16.6 points and 1.4 assists. Kevin Cross is the third double-digit scorer and Sion James is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Tulane Green Wave are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free throw line. The Tulane Green Wave are allowing 34.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 29.2 rebounds per game.
The Houston Cougars are averaging 75.9 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 58.9 points on 37.2 percent shooting. Marcus Sasser is averaging 17.7 points 2.8 rebounds, while Kyler Edwards is averaging 13.6 points and 5.9 rebounds. Fabian White Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Josh Carlton is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Houston Cougars are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 66.3 percent from the free throw line. The Houston Cougars are allowing 29.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.7 rebounds per game.
The Green Wave are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The over is 8-2 in Green Wave last 10 overall. The under is 4-0-1 in Cougars last 5 overall. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Give the Tulane Green Wave credit for getting to this point, and they’re playing with house money, which makes them scary. However, the Houston Cougars are comfortably the better team here, and they showed that twice in two meetings in February. Houston is winning its last five games by an average of 13.8 points and wins in the favorite role by an average of 17.4 points. Tulane just doesn’t have the horses or the balance to keep up. I like Houston to win by a decent margin.