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Abilene Christian vs Tarleton State 3/5/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

Tarleton State Texans (14-16) vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats (19-9)
March 5, 2022 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Abilene Christian Wildcats -9.5 / Tarleton State Texans +9.5; Over/Under: 134
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tarleton Texans will travel to the Teague Center to take on the Abilene Christian Wildcats this Saturday night in College Basketball action.

The Tarleton Texans had their 3-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 14-16 on the season after being defeating by the Sam Houston Bearkats, 69-50, this past Thursday. Tarleton struggled on the offensive end against Sam Houston and could not fight back after the Bearkats took a 52-43 lead with 9:48 left in regulation. Tarleton shot 42.0% from the field & 35.0% from beyond the arc while allowing Sam Houston to shoot 55.1% from the field & 43.5% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Texans was Freddy Hicks who had 13 points, 5 rebounds, 1 assist, & 2 steals.

On the season, Tarleton is averaging 64.9 ppg on 41.9% shooting from the field. The Texans are averaging 5.1 three-pointers per game on 30.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Tarleton has been led by Montre Gipson (14.8 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 3.3 apg, 1.4 spg), Tahj Small (13.6 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.0 spg), Freddy Hicks (12.8 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 1.7 apg), & Shamir Bogues (7.3 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 1.9 apg, 1.8 spg).

Defensively, Tarleton is holding their opponents to an average of 65.5 ppg on 44.7% shooting from the field. The Texans have a rebound margin of -4.0 and a turnover margin of 4.6.

The Abilene Christian Wildcats improved to 19-9 on the season after defeating the Dixie State Trailblazers, 80-64, this past Thursday. Abilene Christian did an outstanding job of forcing turnovers, winning the turnover battle by a 25-11 margin, and had no trouble pulling away for the victory after going into halftime with a 40-27 lead. Abilene Christian shot 41.2% from the field & 31.6% from beyond the arc while allowing Dixie State to shoot 43.2% from the field & 30.0% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Wildcats was Mahki Morris who had 18 points, 6 rebounds, 3 assists, & 2 steals.

On the season, Abilene Christian is averaging 77.5 ppg on 43.8% shooting from the field. The Wildcats are averaging 6.8 three-pointers per game on 31.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Abilene Christian has been led by Coryon Mason (12.2 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 1.8 apg), Airion Simmons (11.5 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.8 spg), Mahki Morris (10.3 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.4 spg), & Cameron Steele (8.7 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 1.3 apg).

Defensively, Abilene Christian is holding their opponents to average 66.3 ppg on 43.6% shooting from the field. The Wildcats have a rebound margin of -1.6 and a turnover margin of 9.0.

The Texans are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games & 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing as the underdog. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games & 7-7-1 ATS in their last 15 home games.

Tarleton has been solid on the defensive end this season in terms of keeping opponents off the scoreboard, however, this is a team that has been crushed on the boards and can have issues scoring the basketball. Abilene Christian has been solid on both ends of the court this season as the Wildcats come into this game ranked 37th in scoring offense, 93rd in scoring defense, & 1st in turnover margin and between the fact that Wildcats have won 8 of their last 10 games while the Texans are just 4-11 on the road, I’m taking Abilene Christian to cover this large home spread. Good Luck!

Brett Nault's Free Pick: Abilene Christian Wildcats -9.5

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Brett Nault

Brett has been involved with sports his entire life, whether playing them or betting on them, and loves using his education in data analytics to break down all matchups to get you a competitive edge. Follow Brett Nault on Twitter @BrettCU05

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