College Basketball Picks

Alabama State vs Southern 3/3/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

Southern Jaguars (16-12) vs. Alabama State Hornets (8-21)
March 3, 2022 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Alabama State Hornets +6 / Southern Jaguars -6; Over/Under: 146
(Get latest betting odds)

The Southern Jaguars will travel to the Dunn-Oliver Acadome to take on the Alabama State Hornets this Thursday night in College Basketball action.

The Southern Jaguars snapped a 2-game losing streak and improved to 16-12 on the season after defeating the Florida A&M Rattlers, 58-49, this past Monday night. Southern led by a 31-24 margin at halftime and was able to pull away for the victory in the 2nd half after taking a 52-39 lead with 5:13 left in regulation. Southern shot 37.3% from the field & 18.2% from beyond the arc while allowing Florida A&M to shoot 37.7% from the field & 26.3% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Jaguars was Jayden Saddler who had 15 points, 3 rebounds, 7 assists, & 3 steals.

On the season, Southern is averaging 73.4 ppg on 44.9% shooting from the field. The Jaguars are averaging 7.2 three-pointers per game on 36.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Southern has been led by Tyrone Lyons (13.6 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 1.5 spg), Brion Whitley (12.3 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 1.0 spg), Jayden Saddler (11.0 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 4.4 apg, 2.1 spg), & Terrell Williams (9.8 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 1.1 apg).

Defensively, Southern is allowing their opponents to average 68.5 ppg on 44.7% shooting from the field. The Jaguars have a rebound margin of -3.2 and a turnover margin of 4.5.

The Alabama State Hornets dropped to 7-21 on the season after being defeated by the Alabama A&M Bulldogs, 80-65, this past Saturday. Alabama State had no answers on the defensive end for Alabama A&M and could not fight back after going into halftime trailing by a 38-26 margin. Alabama State shot just 30.7% from the field & 14.3% from beyond the arc while allowing Alabama A&M to shoot 46.4% from the field & 33.3% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Hornets was Gerald Liddell who had a double-double with 13 points, 14 rebounds, & 1 assist.

On the season, Alabama State is averaging 69.1 ppg on 42.1% shooting from the field. The Hornets are averaging 6.2 three-pointers per game on 32.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Alabama State has been led by Trace Young (11.6 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 1.3 apg), Kenny Strawbridge (10.2 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.3 spg), Gerald Liddell (9.9 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.0 spg), & Isaiah Range (9.0 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.3 spg).

Defensively, Alabama State is allowing their opponents to average 75.5 ppg on 44.2% shooting from the field. The Hornets have a rebound margin of -3.0 and a turnover margin of -0.8.

The Jaguars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 50 poitns in their previous game, however, are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. The Hornets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games following three or more consecutive road games.

Alabama State has struggled on both ends of the court this season, however, have really had issues defensively as the Hornets come into this game ranked just 315th in scoring defense & 302nd in rebound margin. Southern has been decent on both ends of the court as the Jaguars come into this game ranked 123rd in scoring offense, 155th in scoring defense, & 7th in turnover margin. Alabama State has lost 5 of their last 6 games, which included a home loss to Mississippi Valley State and as I think Southern is just the better team on both ends of the court, I think the Jaguars have no trouble covering this mid-range road spread. Good Luck!

Brett Nault's Free Pick: Southern Jaguars -6

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Brett Nault

Brett has been involved with sports his entire life, whether playing them or betting on them, and loves using his education in data analytics to break down all matchups to get you a competitive edge. Follow Brett Nault on Twitter @BrettCU05

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