College Basketball Picks

Baylor vs Tarleton State 12/6/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

Tarleton State Texans (5-3) vs. Baylor Bears (6-2)
December 6, 2022 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Baylor Bears -19.5 / Tarleton State Texans +19.5; Over/Under: +144.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tarleton Texans and the Baylor Bears meet in college basketball action from the Ferrell Center on Tuesday night.

The Tarleton Texans will be out to build on a 98-55 win over subdivision Wiley in their last game. Freddy Hicks has 19.8 PPG, 7.2 RPG and 3.5 APG through six games while Jakorie Smith has 11.5 PPG with 3.5 RPG and Cue Williams has 11 PPG with 3.8 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Tarleton up to this point in the year. As a team, Tarleton is averaging 77.6 PPG on 46.6% shooting from the field, 33.1% from three and 68.6% from the foul line this season.

The Baylor Bears will hope to build on a 64-63 win over Gonzaga in their last game. LJ Cryer leads the Bears in scoring with 16.5 PPG while Adam Flagler has 16.1 PPG along with a team-high 6.1 APG to lead the Bears in the assist department. Keyonte George has 14.9 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 4 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Baylor so far this season. Flo Thamba also has a team-high 5.2 RPG to lead the Bears on the glass this season. As a team, Baylor is averaging 85.1 PPG on 48.7% shooting from the field, 37% from three and 71.2% from the foul line this season.

Tarleton is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall while the over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. Baylor is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600.

I get the case to be made either way here, as Baylor is the better team but Tarleton’s had a tendency to hang around with the better teams they’ve faced this season. Instead, I’m going to back the over here as I see this as a game where Baylor pushes the pace, but Tarleton matches and while I’m not sure they cover, I think the Texans do enough to push us over this number.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 144.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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