College Basketball Picks

St. Mary’s vs Colorado State 12/18/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

Colorado State Rams (7-4) vs. St. Mary's Gaels (9-3)
December 18, 2022 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: St. Mary's Gaels -11.5 / Colorado State Rams +11.5; Over/Under: +133
(Get latest betting odds)

The Colorado State Rams and the Saint Mary’s Gaels meet in college basketball action from the University Credit Union Pavilion on Sunday night.

The Colorado State Rams will look to build on their 115-72 win over subdivision Peru State last time out. John Tonje leads the Rams in scoring with 14.6 PPG and rebounding with 5.6 RPG this season. Isaiah Stevens has 18 PPG in his four games so far as well as 5.3 APG while Isaiah Rivera has 11.5 PPG with 3.4 RPG and Patrick Cartier has 11.5 PPG with 2.2 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Colorado State this season while Taviontae Jackson has 4 APG to lead the Rams in assists. As a team, Colorado State is averaging 78.6 PPG on 51.1% shooting from the field, 40.1% from three and 69.7% from the foul line this season.

The Saint Mary’s Gaels will try to build on an 81-68 win over New Mexico State last time out.  Aidan Mahoney leads the Gaels in scoring with 13.7 PPG with 2.8 RPG and Alex Ducas has 13.6 PPG with 3.7 RPG. Mitchell Saxen has 12.9 PPG with a team-high 8.6 RPG to lead the Gaels on the glass while Logan Johnson has 10.5 PPG with 5.3 RPG and a team-high 3.8 APG to lead the Gaels in assists up to this point in the season and also round out the group of double-digit scorers for Saint Mary’s so far this season. As a team, Saint Mary’s is averaging 69.6 PPG on 45.8% shooting from the field, 37.8% from three and 64.7% from the foul line this season.

Colorado State is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a winning record and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games overall. Saint Mary’s is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a road winning percentage below .400 while the over is 9-2-1 in their last 12 home games against a team with a losing road record.

I get the reasoning for looking at Colorado State as an underdog, but the problem is that the Rams have really struggled in their true road games this season, and I don’t see that changing against a Gaels team that’ll be the best defense that the Rams will have faced up to this point. The Gaels have shut down pretty much everyone that’s come through their home floor this season and I don’t see this game being any different. It’s a bigger line, but it’s big for a reason. Give me Saint Mary’s here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Saint Mary's -11.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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