College Basketball Picks

Arkansas vs Mississippi State Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 2/11/23

Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-8) vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (17-7)
February 11, 2023 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Arkansas Razorbacks -6.5 / Mississippi State Bulldogs +6.5; Over/Under: +129.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Arkansas Razorbacks meet in college basketball action from the Bud Walton Arena on Saturday. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.


Arkansas is listed as a 6.5-point home favorite with a ML price of -312. The total for this game is set at 129.5 points.


Mississippi State has a clean injury report coming into this game while Arkansas is still without Nick Smith Jr., who is out until late February with a knee injury.

Matchup History

Arkansas’ 63-55 win over Mississippi State back on February 5th, 2022, made it three straight wins for the home team in this head-to-head matchup.


Mississippi State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win while the under is 9-2 in their last 11 games following an ATS win. Arkansas is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the under is 8-1 in their last 9 games following an ATS win.


I’m sticking with the under here. Both teams like to get to the rim, but both are going head-first into tough interior defenses and both teams are also solid defensively across the board while the offenses have definitely shown signs of weakness over the course of conference play. This feels like a first to 65 wins kind of game, like a 64-59 or 64-58 kind of game whichever way you have it going so give me the under here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Under 129.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

Related Articles

Back to top button