UNLV vs Air Force Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 3/8/23
Air Force Falcons (14-17) vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels (18-12)
March 8, 2023 4:30 pm EDT
The Line: UNLV Runnin' Rebels -6.5 / Air Force Falcons +6.5; Over/Under: +135.5
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The Air Force Falcons and UNLV Rebels meet Wednesday in the college basketball MWC Tournament First Round at the Thomas & Mack Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
The Air Force Falcons are averaging 66.8 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 66.7 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Jake Heidbreder is averaging 14.8 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Rytis Petraitis is averaging 10.2 points and 2.7 assists. Ethan Taylor is dishing 3.2 assists and Beau Becker is grabbing 2.1 rebounds. The Air Force Falcons are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 71.5 percent from the free throw line. The Air Force Falcons are allowing 29 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 26.9 rebounds per game.
The UNLV Rebels are averaging 74.1 points on 43.2 percent shooting and allowing 69.5 points on 43.6 percent shooting. EJ Harkless is averaging 18.6 points and 5 rebounds, while Keshon Gilbert is averaging 11.5 points and 3.2 assists. Luis Rodriguez is the third double-digit scorer and Justin Webster is grabbing 2.1 rebounds. The UNLV Rebels are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 72.5 percent from the free throw line. The UNLV Rebels are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.1 rebounds per game.
The Falcons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. The Rebels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. The under is 23-11 in Falcons last 34 road games. The over is 17-7 in Rebels last 24 overall. The underdog is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels have been the better team, and they’re at home here. However, UNLV is just 4-11 ATS at home this season, while Air Force is 8-4 ATS on the road. These teams played a couple of weeks ago in Vegas and the game was decided by one point. UNLV is losing its last 5 games by an average of 7 points. Give me Air Force and the points.