In this article, we will formulate an Arkansas State vs St. Louis prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, March 18th at the First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, AR. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the 1st Round of the NIT. The winner of this game will meet North Texas or Furman in the 2nd Round.
Saint Louis Billikens Betting Preview
The Saint Louis Billikens (19-14, 12-19 ATS) bounced back from a three-game losing streak with three wins in the final four games of the regular season. Saint Louis entered the Atlantic 10 tournament as the No. 5 seed and met Davidson in the second round, winning 83-75 before losing to Loyola Chicago 72-64 in the quarterfinals.
Saint Louis is averaging 74.2 PPG (173rd) and is allowing 70.3 PPG (127th). The Billikens are getting 35.3 RPG (210th) and dish out 15.1 APG (91st). Gibson Jimerson is the team’s top performer with 18.0 PPG and 4.7 RPG. Robbie Avila has 17.1 PPG, 6.9 RPG, 4.0 APG, and a team-high 1.2 SPG, while Isaiah Swope contributes 17.1 PPG, 3.2 RPG, a team-high 4.3 APG, and 1.1 SPG.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview
The Arkansas State Red Wolves (23-10, 17-14-1 ATS) closed out the regular season with three wins in a row as they beat UL Monroe twice and Louisiana. Arkansas State secured the No. 4 seed and didn’t have to play the opening rounds of the Sun Belt tournament. The Red Wolves entered the quarterfinals where they edged out Marshall and then defeated South Alabama, but Arkansas State couldn’t win the championship as Troy proved to be too strong in the finals.
Arkansas State averages 79.2 PPG (56th) and allows 70.1 PPG (124th). The Red Wolves are 10th in rebounds (40.9) and 164th in assists (14.1). Taryn Todd leads the team with 14.6 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 3.1 APG, and 1.2 SPG. Joseph Pinion follows him with 12.5 PPG, 4.1 RPG, and 1.1 SPG, while Kobe Julien chips in 11.8 PPG, 5.5 RPG, and a team-high 1.4 SPG.
Why Arkansas State will beat Saint Louis
- Arkansas State has won 12 of its last 13 games against non-conference opponents at First National Bank Arena.
- Saint Louis has lost each of its last three games against non-conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Sixteen of Saint Louis’ last 17 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
- Twenty-nine of Arkansas State’s last 36 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at First National Bank Arena have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Arkansas State ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (64.0).
- Arkansas State ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (40.0%).
- Saint Louis ranks T28th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (15.3).
- Saint Louis ranks 30th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (9.8).
Arkansas State vs St. Louis Prediction
These teams have met only once before; it was back in 2011 when Saint Louis won at home. This situation is different this time around, Arkansas State is a stronger team and plays at home, which makes them favorites. The Red Wolves have an efficient offense and are excellent in the air – top 10 in the country in rebounds. Arkansas State is 13-2 at home, while Saint Louis is 4-8 on the road and lost four of the previous five road games. Arkansas State has covered the Spread in 19 of its last 36 games, while Saint Louis is 12-19 ATS this season. I am backing the Red Wolves to win and cover.