In this article, we will formulate a Cal Poly vs Hawaii Prediction for this college basketball game on Thursday, February 19th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Hawaii Preview
Hawaii has a 18-6 record this season and is 10-4 in the Big West. They are coming off an 84-60 road defeat against Cal State Northridge and they are playing UC Santa Barbara, UC Davis and Cal State Fullerton next.
The Rainbow Warriors average 79.8 points per game offensively, while allowing 67.8 points per game defensively. They have a 46% field goal percentage and average 39.8 boards per game and 14.3 dimes per game.
Isaac Johnson is the team’s leading scorer, with 13.4 points per game, while shooting with 51.2% from the field and 86% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 5.9 boards per game. Hunter Erickson adds a team-high 3.8 assists per game.
Cal Poly Preview
Cal Poly has a 11-16 record and is 7-8 in the Big West. They are coming off an 89-79 home victory over UC Santa Barbara and will play Long Beach State, UC San Diego and UC Irvine next.
The Mustangs average 81.3 points per game offensively, while allowing 85.3 points per game defensively. They have a 43% field goal percentage and average 37.7 boards per game and 13.3 dimes per game.
Hamad Mousa is the team’s leading scorer with 20 points per game, while shooting with 44.4% from the field and 87% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 6 boards per game. Peter Bandelj adds a team-high 3.3 assists per game.
Cal Poly Mustangs @ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Betting Trends: February 19, 2026
Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win
- Hawaii has won each of its last 11 home games against Cal Poly.
- Cal Poly has lost each of its last 10 night games at Bankoh Arena at Stan Sheriff Center.
- Hawaii has won the first half in each of its last 19 games against Cal Poly.
Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win
- The road team has won the first half in each of Cal Poly’s last seven games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last 13 games between Cal Poly and Hawaii have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
- Ten of Cal Poly’s last 12 road games have produced a total of 172+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Hawaii ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (9.0).
- Hawaii ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (5.1).
- Cal Poly ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (16.0).
- Cal Poly ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for pace this season (75.1).
Cal Poly vs Hawaii Prediction
Hawaii has been the better team this season and have been almost undefeated at home with just one loss in 16 home games played. They have been in very good form lately with a 7-3 in their last 10 games but are just 1-4 against the spread. On the flip side, Cal Poly is 4-2 in its last 6 games and almost perfect against the spread with a 5-1 ATS record. The Rainbow Warriors are just 5-8 ATS at their home court while the Mustangs are 8-6 ATS on the road and have been slightly better offensively, so I don’t think they should be double digit dogs in this spot, as I expect them to keep this one kinda close. Take Cal Poly and get the +12.5 points in this one.