In this article, we will formulate a Hofstra vs Alabama Prediction for this NCAA Tournament 1st Round matchup on Friday, March 20th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Alabama Crimson Tide Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide have a 23-9 overall record and a 13-5 record in the SEC conference. They are coming off an 80-79 loss against Ole Miss and their previous three games were a 96-84 win against Auburn, an 98-88 loss against Georgia and a 71-69 road win against Tennessee.
Offensively, Alabama averages 91.7 points per game, while allowing 83.5 points per game defensively. The Crimson Tide shoot with 46% from the field and grab 40.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.1 assists per game. They average 5.1 blocks per game and 6.4 steals per game defensively.
Labaron Philon Jr. leads Alabama in scoring, with an average of 21.7 points per game, while shooting with 50.9% from the field and 78.7% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 4.7 assists. Amari Allen is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.1 per game.
Hofstra Pride Preview
The Hofstra Pride have a 24-10 overall record and a 12-6 record in the CAA conference. They are coming off a 75-69 win against Monmouth and their previous three games were a 68-65 win against Towson, a 92-61 win against William & Mary and a 62-51 win against Drexel.
Offensively, Hofstra averages 75.6 points per game, while allowing 66.1 points per game defensively. The Pride shoot with 44% from the field and grab 39.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.8 assists per game. They average 3.7 blocks per game and 5 steals per game defensively.
Cruz Davis leads Hofstra in scoring, with an average of 20.2 points per game, while shooting with 44.3% from the field and 82.9% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 4.6 assists. Silas Sunday is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.9 per game.
Hofstra Pride @ Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Trends: March 20, 2026
Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win
- Alabama has won each of its last 25 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Alabama has won the first half in each of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents.
Why the Hofstra Pride will win
- Hofstra has won each of its last seven games.
- Alabama has lost three of its last four March games as an AP-ranked team.
- Hofstra has won the first half in four of its last five games played at neutral venues.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Hofstra’s last 13 games have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
- Each of Alabama’s last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 159+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (92.1).
- Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (35.5).
- Hofstra ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (38.6%).
- Hofstra ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (22.3).
Hofstra vs Alabama Prediction
In this Hofstra vs Alabama Prediction, Alabama is coming as -11.5 favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records this season and Hofstra has been superior against the spread, with a 21-11 ATS record. Alabama has lost two of its last three games and is 3-5 against the spread in its last 8 games, while Hofstra has been red-hot with a 9-1 record in its last 10 games while boasting the 16th-best defense in the country. I expect this to be a very close game, so take Hofstra and get the +10.5 points.