Louisville vs Memphis Prediction
In this Louisville vs Memphis prediction, Louisville is coming in as -8.5 road favorites. Each team has two wins so far but Louisville is the one without a loss and it sits at #10 in the whole nation right now, with an elite offense and an elite defense that combine for a whopping +32 point differential. Memphis on the other side has had its problems on offense up to this point and it gave up 193 points combined over the last two games. Louisville was all over Memphis when they met last season and won by 26 points, and I expect more of the same here, another comfortable win on the road and a cover of the -8.5-point spread.
Memphis Tigers Preview
Memphis is 2-1 overall, with a 1-0 record at home, 1-0 at neutral sites and 0-1 on the road. They lost 105-81 at Vanderbilt last time out. Before that they had two close wins, 89-88 at home against VCU and 80-76 over Iowa State on a neutral floor. Evansville and Penn State are next.
Memphis is averaging 83.3 points per game but allowing 89.7. They shoot 44.8% from the field and 37.7% from three, where they make 7.7 a game. Opponents have shot well against them, 49.7% from the field and 42.1% from 3-point range. A lot of their points come at the line, with 24.3 made free throws per game on 69.5% shooting. Memphis gets 32.3 rebounds per game and allows 36, and they have 10 assists per game while opponents have 17.3. They average 5.7 steals and 3.7 blocks. Memphis only turns it over 9 times a game and forces 11, for an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.1. They commit 23 fouls per game.
Jayden Reid leads Memphis with 23 ppg on 48.8% shooting, and he also has a team-high 3.3 assists per game. Luke Almodovar is second with 15.3 ppg on 48.3% from the field to go with 4.7 rebounds. Tylik Weeks has 13.3 ppg on 39.3% shooting and 2.3 assists per game, while Rihards Vavers adds 12.3 ppg on 47.6% and 4 rebounds. Corneilous Williams is the top rebounder with 6 per game.
Louisville Cardinals Preview
Louisville is 2-0 and both games were at home. They beat Morehead State 107-57 in their last game, after an 84-70 win over Chattanooga in the opener. Stetson and Texas Tech come next.
Louisville scores 95.5 points per game and gives up 63.5. They are shooting 48.9% from the field and making 11 threes per game, although the percentage from deep is only 30.1%. Opponents shoot 38.3% from the field and 35.3% from three. They make 17.5 free throws a game but shoot only 64.8% at the line. On the boards Louisville has a big edge with 50.5 rebounds per game against 30.5 for opponents. They average 19 assists per game and allow 13.5. Louisville has 9.5 steals and 3.5 blocks per game, commits just 8.5 turnovers and forces 13. Their assist-to-turnover ratio is 2.2 and they commit 16.5 fouls per game.
Adrian Wooley is the leading scorer at 13.5 ppg on 52.6% shooting, and he adds 4 rebounds per game. Flory Bidunga is right there with 13 ppg and 8 rebounds while shooting 75% from the field. Obinna Ekezie Jr. has 12.5 ppg on 69.2% shooting and 6.5 rebounds per game. Karter Knox leads the team with 8.5 rebounds per game and Alvaro Folgueiras leads it in assists with 4.5.
Louisville Cardinals @ Memphis Tigers Betting Trends: November 15, 2026
Why the Memphis Tigers will win
- Memphis has won five of its last six home games against non-Conference opponents.
Why the Louisville Cardinals will win
- Louisville has won each of its last 16 November games as an AP-ranked team.
- Memphis has lost each of its last four games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- Memphis has lost the first half in each of its last four games against AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Memphis’ last six day games against AP-ranked opponents at FedExForum have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
- Each of Louisville’s last four games at FedExForum have produced a total of 159 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Memphis ranks T10th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (24.3).
- Memphis ranks T11th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (4.0).
- Louisville ranks T5th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (50.5).
- Louisville ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (9.6%).