Marquette vs Michigan Prediction
In this Marquette vs Michigan Prediction, Michigan is coming as -3.5 home favorites. Marquette has been undefeated this season and has covered the spread in both of its games, having the best defense in the entire country with just 37.5 points per game allowed, while scoring 85.5 for a +48 point differential. On the flip side, the Wolverines are coming off a loss against UConn and have failed to cover the spread in both of their games this season, while struggling with their shooting, especially from beyond the arc, where the are a bottom-20 team in the country. I like Marquette as a road dog in this spot, so take the Golden Eagles and grab the plus points.
Michigan Wolverines Preview
The Michigan Wolverines have a 1-1 overall record and a 1-0 home record and a 0-0 road record. They are coming off a 77-85 neutral loss against Connecticut and will face William & Mary and Villanova next.
Offensively, they are averaging 80.5 points per game (ranking 178th in the nation), while allowing 76.5 points per game defensively (ranking 242nd in the nation) and have a 109.2 offensive rating (ranking 203rd) and a 103.8 defensive rating (ranking 229th). The Wolverines are shooting 42.5% from the field (ranking 252nd) and 22.6% from beyond the arc (ranking 349th), while allowing their opponents to shoot with 36.4% from the field (ranking 75th) and 31.3% from the 3-point range (ranking 189th). They are shooting with a 76.7% from the free-throw line (ranking 66th). They are grabbing 38.5 rebounds per game (ranking 169th) and allow 38.5 rebounds per game off their opponents (271st), while averaging 15 assists per game (ranking 186th) and allowing their opponents to dish 7 assists per game (5th). They average 3.5 blocks per game (ranking 173rd) and 7 steals per game (ranking 209th), while committing 11.5 turnovers per game (ranking 119th) and forcing their opponents into 13.5 turnovers per game (ranking 180th).
Trey McKenney leads Michigan in scoring, averaging 19.5 ppg on 43.3% shooting from the field. Roddy Gayle follows with 17.5 ppg on 56.5% shooting from the field. J.P. Estrella follows with 17 ppg on 81.3% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 10.5 rebounds per game. Elliot Cadeau leads the team in assists with 4.5 per game.
Marquette Golden Eagles Preview
The Marquette Golden Eagles have a 2-0 overall record and a 2-0 home record and a 0-0 road record. They are coming off a 93-32 home win against Detroit Mercy and will face Missouri and Northern Illinois next.
Offensively, they are averaging 85.5 points per game (ranking 119th in the nation), while allowing 37.5 points per game defensively (ranking 1st in the nation) and have a 129.9 offensive rating (ranking 34th) and a 57.0 defensive rating (ranking 1st). The Golden Eagles are shooting 48.2% from the field (ranking 130th) and 26.7% from beyond the arc (ranking 301st), while allowing their opponents to shoot with 25.6% from the field (ranking 1st) and 16.4% from the 3-point range (ranking 3rd). They are shooting with a 63.9% from the free-throw line (ranking 283rd). They are grabbing 48.5 rebounds per game (ranking 21st) and allow 31 rebounds per game off their opponents (82nd), while averaging 24 assists per game (ranking 10th) and allowing their opponents to dish 6.5 assists per game (3rd). They average 8 blocks per game (ranking 7th) and 10.5 steals per game (ranking 57th), while committing 7 turnovers per game (ranking 3rd) and forcing their opponents into 18.5 turnovers per game (ranking 39th).
Royce Parham leads Marquette in scoring, averaging 14 ppg on 57.9% shooting from the field. Joshua Clark follows with 13 ppg on 80% shooting from the field. Alex Egbuonu follows with 10.5 ppg on 52.9% shooting from the field. Sananda Fru leads the team in rebounds with 10 per game, and Nigel James leads the team in assists with 5.5 per game.
Marquette Golden Eagles @ Michigan Wolverines Betting Trends: November 11, 2026
Why the Michigan Wolverines will win
- Michigan has won each of its last 22 night games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
- Marquette has lost seven of its last eight night games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Marquette has lost the first half in each of its last four road games against the Big Ten Conference.
Why the Marquette Golden Eagles will win
- Marquette has won four of its last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Marquette’s last eight night games against the Big Ten Conference have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.
- Eleven of Michigan’s last 13 night games against the Big East Conference have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Michigan is one of only five teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last four NCAA Tournament appearances.
- Michigan ranks T6th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (7.0).
- Marquette ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (16.4%).
- Marquette ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (3.0).