In this article, we will formulate a Miami vs NC State Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 14th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
NC State Wolfpack Preview
The NC State Wolfpack have an 18-7 overall record and a 9-3 record in the ACC. They are coming off a 118-77 road loss against Louisville and their previous three games were an 82-73 home win against Virginia Tech, an 84-83 road win against SMU and a 96-78 road win against Wake Forest.
Offensively, NC State averages 85.3 points per game, while allowing 74.3 points per game defensively. The Wolfpack shoot with 48% from the field and grab 35.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.5 assists per game. They average 3 blocks per game and 8.5 steals per game defensively.
Darrion Williams leads NC State in scoring, with an average of 14.4 points per game, while shooting with 41.6% from the field and 78.6% from the free throw line. Ven-Allen Lubin is the team’s leading rebounder with 7 per game. Quadir Copeland leads the team in assists with 6.9 per game.
Miami Hurricanes Preview
The Miami Hurricanes have a 19-5 overall record and an 8-3 record in the ACC. They are coming off a 75-66 home win against North Carolina and their previous three games were a 74-68 road win against Boston College, an 86-85 home loss against California and a 79-70 home win against Stanford.
Offensively, Miami averages 83.8 points per game, while allowing 69.8 points per game defensively. The Hurricanes shoot with 51% from the field and grab 38.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.1 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 7.9 steals per game defensively.
Malik Reneau leads Miami in scoring, with an average of 19.8 points per game, while shooting with 56.1% from the field and 77.9% from the free throw line. Ernest Udeh Jr. is the team’s leading rebounder with 9.6 per game. Tre Donaldson leads the team in assists with 6.1 per game.
Miami Hurricanes @ NC State Wolfpack Betting Trends: February 14, 2026
Why the NC State Wolfpack will win
- NC State has won 12 of its last 13 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Miami (FL) has lost 10 of its last 12 road day games against Conference opponents.
- NC State has won the first half in each of its last 13 games at Lenovo Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Miami Hurricanes will win
- Miami (FL) has won 19 of its last 21 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- The road team has won the first half in five of Miami (FL)’s last six games.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of NC State’s last 11 day games at Lenovo Center have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
- Five of Miami (FL)’s last six day games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 161+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- NC State ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.71).
- NC State ranks T20th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.7).
- Miami (FL) is one of only four teams to reach the Elite 8 in each of its last two NCAA Tournament appearances.
- Miami (FL) ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (67.1%).
Miami vs NC State Prediction
In this Miami vs NC State Prediction, NC State is coming as -5.5 home favorites. Both teams have been very good this season and have almost identical overall records. Both are coming into this matchup in very good form, as they are 8-2 and 7-3 in their last 10 games respectively and both have been struggling against the spread, with a 2-5 and 0-3 ATS records respectively, so I see no value on either side. They both have been playing some higher-scoring games lately, as they are 16-4 to the over in their last 20 games combined, as they both rank on the top-55 of the entire nation in points scored. Take the over 156 points in this one.