The Kentucky Wildcats and the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet in college basketball action from the Humphrey Coliseum on Wednesday night. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Mississippi State is listed as a 2.5-point home favorite with a ML price of -140. The total for this game is set at 128.5 points.
Injuries
For Kentucky, Connor Fredrick is questionable for this game with a rib injury while Sahvir Wheeler is out until late February with an ankle injury.
Matchup History
Kentucky’s 82-74 win over Mississippi State back on January 25th, 2022, made it 16 wins in the last 17 meetings between these two teams.
Trends
Kentucky is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games against a team with a winning record and 8-16-2 ATS in their last 28 road games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. Mississippi State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win while the over is 11-3-1 in their last 15 games against a team with a winning record.
Pick
I’m backing the over here. This total just feels too low considering that Kentucky’s scoring over 71 PPG in their last 5 games while Mississippi State’s scoring 69.4 PPG at home. I think Kentucky does their fair share of scoring and it’s going to be up to Mississippi State to match it. Give me the over.