In this article, we will formulate a North Carolina vs Michigan State Prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, November 27th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.
Michigan State Spartans Preview
Michigan State has a 6-0 record this season and are 4th in the Big Ten conference. They are 3-3 ATS, 2-4 in Over/Under and have a 4-0 home record and a 0-0 away record. Michigan State is coming off an 84-56 home win against Detroit Mercy and will face Iowa, Duke and Penn State next.
Offensively, Michigan State averages 80.7 points per game, which ranks 157th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 62.2 points per game (18th). The Spartans shoot with 46.4% from the field (152nd), and with 32.8% from beyond the arc (213th). They shoot with 69.9% from the free throw line (215th), and grab 43.2 rebounds per game (32nd), while dishing out 21.2 assists per game (4th) and committing 11.5 turnovers per game (115th).
Jaxon Kohler leads Michigan State in scoring, with an average of 15.3 points and 9.5 rebounds per game. Coen Carr follows with 11.2 points and 5.3 rebounds per game, while Jeremy Fears Jr. adds 10.8 points and 10.2 assists per game.
North Carolina Tar Heels Preview
North Carolina has a 6-0 record this season and are 4th in the ACC conference. They are 4-2 ATS, 2-4 in Over/Under and have a 5-0 home record and a 0-0 away record. North Carolina is coming off an 85-70 neutral site win against St. Bonaventure and will face Kentucky, Georgetown and South Carolina Upstate next.
Offensively, North Carolina averages 87.5 points per game, which ranks 59th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 64.3 points per game (36th). The Tar Heels shoot with 48.1% from the field (90th), and with 34.0% from beyond the arc (167th). They shoot with 72.1% from the free throw line (153rd), and grab 45.8 rebounds per game (10th), while dishing out 17.7 assists per game (59th) and committing 11.7 turnovers per game (126th).
Caleb Wilson leads North Carolina in scoring, with an average of 20.2 points and 10.3 rebounds per game. Henri Veesaar follows with 16.3 points and 8.7 rebounds per game, while Seth Trimble adds 14.5 points per game.
North Carolina Tar Heels @ Michigan State Spartans Betting Trends: November 27, 2025
Why the Michigan State Spartans will win
- Michigan State has won 13 of its last 14 games against non-Conference opponents.
- North Carolina has lost nine of its last 11 games against AP-ranked opponents.
- North Carolina has lost the first half in each of its last 10 games against AP-ranked opponents.
Why the North Carolina Tar Heels will win
- North Carolina has won each of its last six games.
- Michigan State has lost four of its last five games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.
- North Carolina has won the first half in nine of its last 10 day games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Michigan State’s last 11 games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
- Seven of North Carolina’s last eight day games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 159+ points.
North Carolina vs Michigan State Prediction
In this North Carolina vs Michigan State Prediction, Michigan State is coming as -2.5 home favorites. Both teams have been excellent this season as both have been undefeated in their six games played. They both are 2-2 against the spread in their last 4 games so I see no value on either side. Both teams have been elite defensively this season, allowing just 126.5 points per game combined and as a result they are 7-2 to the under in their last 9 games combined. I expect a tight low-scoring battle, so take the under 150.5 points in this one.