In this article, we will formulate a Tennessee vs Mississippi State Prediction for this college basketball game on Wednesday, February 11th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Preview
The Mississippi State Bulldogs have an 11-12 overall record this season and a 3-7 record in the SEC. They are coming off an 88-68 home loss against Arkansas and their previous four games were an 84-79 road loss against Missouri, an 80-66 road win against LSU, an 88-56 home loss against Vanderbilt and an 88-68 road loss against Texas A&M.
Offensively, Mississippi State averages 77.4 points per game, while allowing 78.6 points per game defensively. The Bulldogs shoot with 44% from the field and grab 40.2 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.4 assists per game. They average 4.6 blocks per game and 5.9 steals per game defensively.
Josh Hubbard leads Mississippi State in scoring and assists, with an average of 20.6 points per game and 3.6 assists per game, while shooting with 40.2% from the field and 78.7% from the free throw line. Achor Achor is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.7 per game.
Tennessee Volunteers Preview
The Tennessee Volunteers have a 16-7 overall record this season and a 6-4 record in the SEC. They are coming off a 74-71 road loss against Kentucky and their previous four games were an 84-66 home win against Mississippi, a 77-69 home win against Auburn, an 86-85 overtime road win against Georgia and a 79-73 road win against Alabama.
Offensively, Tennessee averages 81.7 points per game, while allowing 69.8 points per game defensively. The Volunteers shoot with 47% from the field and grab 43.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.5 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 7.7 steals per game defensively.
Ja’Kobi Gillespie leads Tennessee in scoring and assists, with an average of 18.5 points per game and 5.3 assists per game, while shooting with 41.6% from the field and 80.8% from the free throw line. Nate Ament is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.5 per game.
Tennessee Volunteers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends: February 11, 2026
Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win
- Mississippi State has won 18 of its last 21 games at Humphrey Coliseum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Tennessee has lost three of its last four road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Mississippi State has won the first half in five of its last six games at Humphrey Coliseum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win
- Tennessee has won 11 of its last 12 night games against Mississippi State.
- Mississippi State has lost seven of its last eight games.
- Tennessee has won the first half in 22 of its last 26 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the last eight games between Tennessee and Mississippi State have produced a total of 140 or fewer points.
- Nine of Tennessee’s last 11 games have produced a total of 150+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Mississippi State ranks 357th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (64.8).
- Mississippi State ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (4.4).
- Tennessee ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (58.9%).
- Tennessee is one of only four teams to reach the Elite 8 in each of its last two NCAA Tournament appearances.
Tennessee vs Mississippi State Prediction
In this Tennessee vs Mississippi State Prediction, Tennessee is coming as -7 road favorites. Tennessee has been the better team this season and have been in good form lately, with a 4-1 record in their last 5 games, while on the other hand, Mississippi State has been struggling mightily, with a 1-7 record in their last 8 games and 2-6 against the spread. I see no value on either side and taking a look at the total, both teams are 7-2 to the under in their last 9 games combined, with Tennessee having a top-55 defense in the entire nation. In their previous meeting last season they combined for just 124 total points, so I expect another low-scoring affair today. Take the under 147.5 points.