Texas-Arlington vs Arkansas State College Basketball Picks, Odds, Predictions 2/27/21

The Arkansas State Red Wolves and the UT-Arlington Mavericks meet in college basketball action from the College Park Center on Saturday evening.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves will look to rebound from a 73-71 loss to the Mavericks in their last outing. Marquis Eaton leads the Red Wolves in scoring and assists with 14.1 PPG and 5 APG while Norchand Omier has 12.7 PPG and a team-high 11.8 RPG to lead the Red Wolves on the glass and average a double-double per game. Caleb Fields has 11/4 PPG with 3.5 APG to make up the group of double-digit scorers for Arkansas State up to this point in the season. As a team, Arjansas State is averaging 74 PPG on 45.8% shooting from the field, 38.4% from 3-point range and 72.6% from the foul line while allowing 70.2 PPG on 42.6% shooting from the field and 33.5% from the 3-point line this season.

The UT-Arlington Mavericks will look to add to their win over the Red Wolves and sweep the weekend set here. Shahada Wells leads the Mavs in scoring and assists with 16.9 PPG and 3.5 APG with 2.2 steals per game while Sam Griffin has 13.8 PPG with 2.3 APG and David Azore has 12.1 PPG to make up the group of double-digit scorers for UT-Arlington up to this point in the season. As a team, UT-Arlington is averaging 73.6 PPG on 40.9% shooting from the field and 35.3% from 3-point range while allowing 70 PPG on 42.5% shooting from the field and 35.6% from three this season.

Arkansas State is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog. UT-Arlington is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

I get why UT-Arlington is favored at home and I can see the Mavericks winning this game, but the Mavericks have also been horrible ATS lately, going 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games while A-State flipped the script and went 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games. I think this is a game that we could see come down to the final possession, so I’ll take the points with Arkansas State in this one.

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