UCF vs. SMU Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 3/9/23

The SMU Mustangs and the UCF Knights meet in college basketball action from the Dickies Arena on Thursday night. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

UCF is listed as a 7.5-point favorite with the total for this game set at 137.5 points.

Injuries

SMU comes into this game with a clean injury report while UCF has C.J. Walker listed as out for the year with a leg injury.

Matchup History

UCF’s 85-53 win back on January 8th, 2023, snapped SMU’s two-game head-to-head win streak in this matchup.  

Trends

SMU is 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games against a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games while the over is 17-5 in their last 22 games overall. UCF is 22-10 ATS in their last 32 neutral site games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400 while the over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games overall.

Pick

I’m sticking with the Knights here. I haven’t been an SMU fan at all this season and their form to close out the regular season isn’t going to change things or win anyone over. UCF hasn’t necessarily been a team to blow their opponents away this season, but they’re the better team by a fair margin here and won the lone meeting handily. I’ll lay it and play it with UCF here.

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