In this article, we will formulate a Utah State vs Arizona Prediction for this NCAA Tournament 2nd Round matchup on Sunday, March 22nd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Arizona Wildcats Preview
The Arizona Wildcats have a 33-2 overall record and a 16-2 record in the Big 12. They are coming off a 92-58 win against Long Island University and their previous three games were a 79-74 win against Houston, an 82-80 win against Iowa State and an 81-59 win against UCF.
Offensively, Arizona averages 86.3 points per game, while allowing 68.5 points per game defensively. The Wildcats shoot with 50% from the field and grab 42.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.9 assists per game. They average 4.4 blocks per game and 7.7 steals per game defensively.
Brayden Burries leads Arizona in scoring, with an average of 16 points per game, while shooting with 49.5% from the field and 80.7% from the free throw line. Tobe Awaka is the team’s leading rebounder with 9.5 per game. Jaden Bradley leads the team in assists with 4.5 per game.
Utah State Aggies Preview
The Utah State Aggies have a 29-6 overall record and a 15-5 record in the Mountain West. They are coming off an 86-76 win against Villanova and their previous three games were a 73-62 win against San Diego State, a 79-66 win against Nevada and an 80-60 win against UNLV.
Offensively, Utah State averages 82.6 points per game, while allowing 70.5 points per game defensively. The Aggies shoot with 50% from the field and grab 34.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.7 assists per game. They average 2.8 blocks per game and 8.7 steals per game defensively.
MJ Collins Jr. leads Utah State in scoring, with an average of 17.7 points per game, while shooting with 49.4% from the field and 80.8% from the free throw line. Mason Falslev is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.8 per game. Drake Allen leads the team in assists with 4.7 per game.
Utah State Aggies @ Arizona Wildcats Betting Trends: March 22, 2026
Why the Arizona Wildcats will win
- Arizona has won each of its last 29 games as a top-3 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
- Utah State has lost each of its last six games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- Arizona has won the first half in each of its last 12 March day games as a top-5 AP-ranked team.
Why the Utah State Aggies will win
- Utah State has won each of its last nine day games against non-Conference opponents.
- Utah State has won the first half in seven of its last eight Sunday games against non-Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Arizona’s last seven day games have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
- Thirteen of Utah State’s last 14 games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Arizona ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (43.0).
- Arizona ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (57.8%).
- Utah State ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (57.7%).
- Utah State ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (50.1%).
Utah State vs Arizona Prediction
In this Utah State vs Arizona Prediction, Arizona is coming as -11.5 favorites. Arizona has been scorching-hot with ten consecutive wins and had no trouble against LIU in the first round. Utah State also won by double digits in the opening round and has five consecutive wins, but they have been weaker than Arizona both on the offensive and the defensive end. Arizona is in excellent form, as some of their recent wins include Houston twice, Kansas and BYU, so I expect them to get the job done in a comfortable fashion today and cover the double-digit spread.