The UMass-Lowell River Hawks and the Vermont Catamounts meet in college basketball action from the Patrick Gymnasium on Saturday. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Vermont is listed as a 5.5-point favorite with the total for this game sitting at 141.5 points.
Injuries
Neither side has anyone listed on the injury report for this game, so barring any last-minute announcements, both sides will come into this game at full strength.
Matchup History
Vermont’s 93-81 win over UMass-Lowell back on February 11th, 2023, made it four wins in the last five head-to-head meetings between these two teams.
Trends
UMass-Lowell is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. Vermont is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record.
Pick
I’m sticking with Vermont here. If this game was on a neutral floor, maybe I’d have an easier time making a case for the River Hawks who deserve their props for the solid year they’ve had. However, Vermont won by 12 when these teams locked up in Vermont a month ago, and hung 93 on UMass-Lowell, and Vermont outscored teams by 16.4 PPG on their home floor this season. I just feel like while this feels like a big number for a conference championship game between the 1 and 2 seeds, I just feel like Vermont at home is the play here.