Virginia vs Duke Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 3/11/23

The Duke Blue Devils and the Virginia Cavaliers meet in college basketball action from the Greensboro Coliseum as part of the ACC conference tournament on Saturday night. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Duke is listed as a 1-point favorite with the total for this game set at 123.5 points.

Injuries

Duke comes into this matchup with a clean injury report while Virginia has lost Ben Vander Plas for the season with a hand injury.

Matchup History

Virginia’s 69-62 OT win back on February 11th, 2023, made it six straight head-to-head meetings without back-to-back winners.

Trends

Duke is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 neutral site games. Virginia is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games and 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record.  

Pick

I’m backing Duke here. I’m not rushing to bet this thing, but as critical as I’ve been about Duke this season and their inexperience, they’ve really stepped it up in this conference tournament and I just don’t know if Virginia’s going to be able to slow down Duke. The Blue Devils were in it against Virginia in the lone meeting this season before falling in OT, but I don’t think that Virginia can stifle this Duke team right now. I just think Duke’s firing on all cylinders and they get it done to win the ACC tournament. Give me Duke.

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