In this article, we will formulate a Virginia vs Louisville Prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, January 13th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.
Louisville Cardinals Preview
Louisville Cardinals have a 12-4 record this season and are tied for 10th place in the ACC. They have a 9-1 home record and are coming off a 75-62 home win against Boston College. Their previous three games were an 84-73 home loss against Duke, an 80-76 away loss against Stanford and a 90-70 away win against California.
Offensively, Louisville averages 88.3 points per game, while allowing 69.6 points per game defensively. The Cardinals shoot with 47% from the field and grab 42 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.8 assists per game. They average 3.6 blocks per game and 7.3 steals per game defensively.
Ryan Conwell leads Louisville in scoring, with an average of 19.9 points per game, while shooting with 40.8% from the field and 84.0% from the free throw line. Sananda Fru is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.1 per game, while Aly Khalifa adds a team-high 2.8 assists per game.
Virginia Cavaliers Preview
Virginia Cavaliers have a 14-2 record this season and are tied for 4th place in the ACC. They have a 2-1 away record and are coming off a 70-55 home win against Stanford. Their previous three games were an 84-60 home win against California, a 76-61 away win against NC State and a 95-85 away loss against Virginia Tech.
Offensively, Virginia averages 85.1 points per game, while allowing 66.8 points per game defensively. The Cavaliers shoot with 48% from the field and grab 41.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.6 assists per game. They average 6.5 blocks per game and 6.9 steals per game defensively.
Thijs De Ridder leads Virginia in scoring, with an average of 16.4 points per game, while shooting with 55.4% from the field and 63.6% from the free throw line. Johann Grunloh is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.8 per game, while Dallin Hall adds a team-high 4.1 assists per game.
Virginia Cavaliers @ Louisville Cardinals Betting Trends: January 13, 2026
Why the Louisville Cardinals will win
- Louisville has won 22 of its last 23 games as an AP-ranked team at KFC Yum! Center.
- Virginia has lost each of its last nine games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Louisville has won the first half in each of its last 11 night games at KFC Yum! Center.
Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win
- Virginia has won each of its last 10 January games as an AP-ranked team.
- Louisville has lost 10 of its last 11 games against AP-ranked opponents at KFC Yum! Center.
- Virginia has won the first half in each of its last 10 games.
Total Points Facts
- One-hundred-eight of Virginia’s last 110 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.
- Eight of Louisville’s last nine night games against Conference opponents at KFC Yum! Center have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
Virginia vs Louisville Prediction
In this Virginia vs Louisville Prediction, Louisville is coming as -3 home favorites. Both teams have been excellent this season, but Virginia has just two defeats in its 16 games played, while Louisville has been almost perfect at home. Virginia has also been in better form lately, with a 9-1 record in its last 10 games and 4-1 against the spread, while Louisville has failed to cover the spread in its last three games, so the value here lies with the road dog. Take Virginia and get the +3 points.