Virginia vs Maryland Prediction
In this Virginia vs Maryland prediction, Virginia is listed as a -5.5 road favorite. The Cavaliers have had the better start of the two. They have yet to lose, although they have covered only once in four games. Both ends of the floor have been working for them, as they own a +26.7 point differential and are shooting the ball efficiently. Maryland can score too, but its shooting numbers are poor, and the Terrapins make fewer than half as many three-pointers per game as Virginia does. On top of that, they are letting opponents hit 44.3% from beyond the arc, one of the ten worst marks in the nation. Take Virginia to win comfortably on the road and cover the spread.
Maryland Terrapins Preview
Maryland is 1-1 to start the season, with a win at home and a loss on the road. The Terrapins fell 86-74 at Georgetown last time out, and Alcorn State and Wagner are up next.
The Terrapins are averaging 85 points per game and allowing 76.5. They are shooting 44.4% from the field, but the outside shot has not been falling, with only 5 made threes per game at 20.8%. Their opponents, on the other hand, are shooting 47.6% from the field and 44.3% from three. Maryland is making 20 free throws per game and shooting 72.7% at the line. Rebounding has been the big strength, as the Terrapins grab 45.5 per game and hold opponents to 24.5. Ball movement is a different story, with 10 assists per game against 13.5 turnovers for an assist-to-turnover ratio of 0.7, while opponents are averaging 18 assists. Maryland comes up with 7.5 steals and 3.5 blocks per game, forces 16 turnovers and commits 20 fouls.
Pharrel Payne is Maryland’s leading scorer with 20.5 ppg on 75% shooting from the field. Andre Mills is second at 15.5 ppg on 44.4% shooting, and Kaden House averages 13.5 ppg on 46.7%. Tomislav Buljan is the top rebounder with 8.5 per game, and DJ Wagner leads the team with 3 assists per game.
Virginia Cavaliers Preview
Virginia has won all four of its games, three at home and one at a neutral site. The Cavaliers come in off a 95-61 home win over Bucknell, with Old Dominion and Loyola Maryland to follow.
On offense, the Cavaliers are scoring 93 points per game, and they are holding teams to 66.3. They shoot 49.6% from the field and hit 11.5 threes a game at a 36.2% rate, while opponents are at 41.6% from the field and 32% from long range. Virginia makes 14 free throws per game on 73.7% shooting. The Cavaliers have a clear edge on the boards, with 42.8 rebounds per game to their opponents’ 31.3. They also share the ball well, averaging 22.8 assists and 12.3 turnovers for an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.9, and they allow only 12.5 assists per game. The defense has been disruptive, with 13.3 steals, 6 blocks and 17.8 forced turnovers per game. Virginia commits 16.5 fouls per game.
Thijs De Ridder leads Virginia Cavaliers in scoring, averaging 17.8 ppg on 61.7% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 8.2 rebounds per game. Sam Lewis follows with 15 ppg on 43.9% shooting from the field. Chance Mallory follows with 14.8 ppg on 48.8% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 5 assists per game.
Virginia Cavaliers @ Maryland Terrapins Betting Trends: November 13, 2026
Why the Maryland Terrapins will win
- Maryland has won 19 of its last 21 night games against non-Conference opponents at XFINITY Center.
Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win
- Virginia has won each of its last 21 November night games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
- Maryland has lost each of its last seven games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
- Maryland has lost the first half in 10 of its last 11 games against AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Maryland’s last nine home night games against the Atlantic Coast Conference have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
- Each of Virginia’s last 16 Friday night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
Maryland Terrapins Player Facts
- Tomislav Buljan ranks T1st amongst qualified Div 1 players for FT% (100.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Maryland ranks 360th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (13.5).
- Maryland ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (44.3%).
- Virginia ranks T26th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (11.5).
- Virginia ranks T29th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (6.0).