In this article, we will formulate a Virginia vs NC State Prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, January 3rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.
NC State Wolfpack Preview
NC State Wolfpack have a 10-4 record this season and are tied for 7th place in the ACC. They have an 8-1 home record and are coming off a 70-57 home win against Wake Forest. Their previous three games were a 76-62 home win against Ole Miss, a 108-72 home win against Texas Southern and a 77-76 home loss against Kansas.
Offensively, NC State averages 87 points per game, while allowing 71.1 points per game defensively. The Wolfpack shoot with 49% from the field and grab 37.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.3 assists per game. They average 3.1 blocks per game and 8.2 steals per game defensively.
Darrion Williams leads NC State in scoring, with an average of 14.2 points per game, while shooting with 45.9% from the field and 79.3% from the free throw line. Ven-Allen Lubin is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.1 per game, while Quadir Copeland adds a team-high 5.9 assists per game.
Virginia Cavaliers Preview
Virginia Cavaliers have an 11-2 record this season and are tied for 12th place in the ACC. They have a 1-1 away record and are coming off a 95-85 away loss against Virginia Tech. Their previous three games were a 95-51 home win against American, an 80-72 home win against Maryland and an 84-60 home win against UMES.
Offensively, Virginia averages 87 points per game, while allowing 68.7 points per game defensively. The Cavaliers shoot with 48% from the field and grab 42.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.5 assists per game. They average 6.5 blocks per game and 7.6 steals per game defensively.
Thijs De Ridder leads Virginia in scoring, with an average of 16.5 points per game, while shooting with 53.3% from the field and 62.3% from the free throw line. Johann Grunloh is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.1 per game, while Dallin Hall adds a team-high 4.2 assists per game.
Virginia Cavaliers @ NC State Wolfpack Betting Trends: January 3, 2026
Why the NC State Wolfpack will win
- NC State has won 10 of its last 11 games at Lenovo Center.
- Virginia has lost eight of its last nine day games against Conference opponents.
- NC State has won the first half in 10 of its last 11 games at Lenovo Center.
Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win
- Virginia has won each of its last seven January games as an AP-ranked team.
- NC State has lost each of its last six games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Virginia has won the first half in 14 of its last 15 January day games as an AP-ranked team.
Total Points Facts
- Forty-two of Virginia’s last 44 day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
- Ten of NC State’s last 11 day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
Virginia vs NC State Prediction
In this Virginia vs NC State Prediction, NC State is coming as -3.5 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records, but Virginia has only two defeats in its 13 games played and NC State has been almost perfect at home. Both teams also have an identical against the spread record, so I see no value on either side. Both offenses have been excellent as they score 174 points per game combined and as a result they are 9-5 to the over in their last 14 games combined. Take the over 154.5 points in this one.