College Football

AAC: Houston vs USF 10/29/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

USF Bulls (1-6) vs. Houston Cougars (4-3)
October 29, 2022 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Cougars -17.5 / USF Bulls +17.5; Over/Under: +60.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Houston Cougars and USF Bulls clash Saturday in a week 9 AAC college football game from TDECU Stadium.

The USF Bulls will be out to snap a five-game losing skid, falling to 1-6 on the year with a 45-31 loss to Tulane last time out. Gerry Bohanon’s thrown for 1,070 yards, 6 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 56.9% passing along with 386 rushing yards and 3 TDs while Brian Battle leads USF on the ground with 493 rushing yards in addition to 4 scores. Jaren Mangham and Michel Dukes have combined for 6 rushing TDs as well this season. Xavier Weaver leads USF’s receiving group with 36 grabs for 455 yards and 3 TDs while Jimmy Horn Jr. has 342 receiving yards and 3 TDs as well this season. On defense, Dwayne Boyles has a team-high 61 total tackles while Jason Vaughn has a team-high 5 sacks as part of USF’s defense, which as a whole has combined for 13 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.

The Houston Cougars will try to build on back-to-back wins after a 38-20 win over Navy on the road last time out to improve to 4-3 on the year. Clayton Tune has thrown for 1,828 yards, 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 65.3% passing while Brandon Campbell has a team-high 334 rushing yards with 3 touchdowns. Three more Cougars including the aforementioned Tune each have 200+ rushing yards while Nathaniel Dell has a team-high 51 catches for 627 yards and 8 touchdowns. Matthew Golden also has 233 receiving yards and another five Cougars have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Donavan Mutin also has a team-high 45 total tackles while Derek Parish has a team-high 5 sacks. Nelson Ceaser has 3.5 sacks and D’Anthony Jones also has 3 sacks. Houston’s defense as a whole has also combined for 7 interceptions as well this season.

USF is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 road games. Houston is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a losing record and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following an ATS win while the over is 8-1 in their last 9 games against a team with a losing record.

I get the case to be made for either side here, but I’m looking at the over. USF’s not great, but the offense has been a lot better in their recent games and they’ve allowed 40+ in three of their last four games. Houston isn’t as electric offensively as they’ve been in years past, but they’re still a solid group themselves and I look for this game to be fairly high-scoring and to end up in the high-60s so give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 60.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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