USF Bulls (1-6) vs. Houston Cougars (4-3)
October 29, 2022 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Cougars -17.5 / USF Bulls +17.5; Over/Under: +60.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Cougars and USF Bulls clash Saturday in a week 9 AAC college football game from TDECU Stadium.
The USF Bulls will be out to snap a five-game losing skid, falling to 1-6 on the year with a 45-31 loss to Tulane last time out. Gerry Bohanon’s thrown for 1,070 yards, 6 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 56.9% passing along with 386 rushing yards and 3 TDs while Brian Battle leads USF on the ground with 493 rushing yards in addition to 4 scores. Jaren Mangham and Michel Dukes have combined for 6 rushing TDs as well this season. Xavier Weaver leads USF’s receiving group with 36 grabs for 455 yards and 3 TDs while Jimmy Horn Jr. has 342 receiving yards and 3 TDs as well this season. On defense, Dwayne Boyles has a team-high 61 total tackles while Jason Vaughn has a team-high 5 sacks as part of USF’s defense, which as a whole has combined for 13 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.
The Houston Cougars will try to build on back-to-back wins after a 38-20 win over Navy on the road last time out to improve to 4-3 on the year. Clayton Tune has thrown for 1,828 yards, 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 65.3% passing while Brandon Campbell has a team-high 334 rushing yards with 3 touchdowns. Three more Cougars including the aforementioned Tune each have 200+ rushing yards while Nathaniel Dell has a team-high 51 catches for 627 yards and 8 touchdowns. Matthew Golden also has 233 receiving yards and another five Cougars have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Donavan Mutin also has a team-high 45 total tackles while Derek Parish has a team-high 5 sacks. Nelson Ceaser has 3.5 sacks and D’Anthony Jones also has 3 sacks. Houston’s defense as a whole has also combined for 7 interceptions as well this season.
USF is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 road games. Houston is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a losing record and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following an ATS win while the over is 8-1 in their last 9 games against a team with a losing record.
I get the case to be made for either side here, but I’m looking at the over. USF’s not great, but the offense has been a lot better in their recent games and they’ve allowed 40+ in three of their last four games. Houston isn’t as electric offensively as they’ve been in years past, but they’re still a solid group themselves and I look for this game to be fairly high-scoring and to end up in the high-60s so give me the over here.