The Colorado State Rams and the Air Force Falcons meet Saturday in college football action from Falcon Stadium. Here’s a Air Force vs Colorado State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Air Force vs Colorado State pick.
Colorado State Rams Betting Preview
The Rams started out the year at 1-2, beating Northern Colorado in between losses to Texas and Colorado during their first trio. Next came a 27-17 win over UTEP, but Colorado State would fall in overtime versus Oregon State 39-31 in their next outing.
Matched up against San Jose State last weekend, the Rams played a tight matchup the whole way, winning 31-24 after a dramatic 10-10 fourth quarter. Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi threw for 269 yards with one TD and an interception. Avery Morrow led the rush with 100 yards and two scores.
Air Force Falcons Betting Preview
Over on the Air Force side, they were able to handle Merrimack 21-6 in their opener. Next came a series of losses however, as the Falcons hit the skids. Those defeats came courtesy of San Jose State, Baylor, Wyoming and Navy for a 1-4 record over the first quintet.
In the New Mexico game, the Falcons gave up 21 points in the second quarter and 17 in the third during an eventual loss 52-37. QB Quentin Hayes threw for 79 yards on four completions and also led the rush with 103 yards and a score off 18 carries.
Why the Air Force Falcons will win
- Colorado State has lost each of its last seven road games against conference opponents.
- The home team has won nine of Colorado State’s last 10 games.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of the last four games between Colorado State and Air Force at Falcon Stadium.
- Colorado State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games as a road favorite.
Why the Colorado State Rams will win
- Air Force has lost nine of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has won 11 of Colorado State’s last 12 games.
- Air Force has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games.
- Colorado State has covered the spread in each of its last four October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Four of Air Force’s last five games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of Colorado State’s last five October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Air Force vs Colorado State Prediction
I’ll lean toward Colorado State. The Rams had their ups and downs in the win over San Jose State back on Saturday, giving up 448 yards (347 passing) and 7.0 yards per play on defense. Colorado State posted 455 yards (269 passing) and 24 first downs of their own, but also benefitted from 12 Spartans penalties.
As for Air Force, they managed 325 rushing yards (474 total) in their loss to New Mexico. That said, the Falcons gave up 255 rush yards (434 total) on the other side and didn’t really get going on offense until garbage time. Colorado State will need to stand tall against the run here but I think the Rams are up for it.