In this article, we will formulate an Air Force vs Fresno State Prediction for this College Football Week 11 game on Saturday, November 9th, at Falcon Stadium. Let’s take a look at a Fresno State vs Air Force pick.
Fresno State Struggled in the Last Game
Fresno State sits with a 5-4 record overall but they can’t be happy with the way they looked in the last game. Fresno State’s offense only scored 20 points against the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors and they ended up losing by one. Mikey Keene completed 25 of his 31 passes for 157 yards and a touchdown. Elijah Gilman was the top rusher but he had only 10 carries for 25 yards and a touchdown. Raylen Sharpe did have a solid game catching five passes for 48 yards and a touchdown.
Fresno State is averaging 27.8 points while their defense is giving up 24.1 points per game. The offense is ranked 69th in the league while the defense is ranked 62nd. In this game, the offense is going to need to be good, and the defense is going to need to slow down the run.
Why Fresno State Will Beat Air Force
- Air Force has lost each of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- Fresno State has won 23 of its last 30 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Air Force has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- The favorite has covered the spread in three of Air Force’s last four games.
Air Force is Awful
There is no other way to put it, this Air Force team is awful. In the last game against Army, they faced a backup quarterback and they ended up losing 20-3. Quentin Hayes completed 7 of his 14 passes for 54 yards, zero touchdowns, and one interception. He was the top rusher finishing with 22 carries for 61 yards. He has been far too inconsistent and that has led to the offense being too inconsistent. Air Force overall this season is averaging 13.8 points while their defense is giving up 26.5 points per game. The offense is ranked 134th in the league while the defense is ranked 83rd.
Air Force vs Fresno State Prediction
This total is too high. Air Force’s offense is a big problem and they are going to really struggle to get the offense going here. Fresno State is averaging 27.8 points per game but they aren’t going to run up the score because Air Force is going to really try to control the game with the running game. Fewer possessions are going to lead to this less scoring and this game will stay under the total.