In this article, we will formulate an Air Force vs Nevada Prediction for this College Football Week 4 matchup on Saturday, September 26th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Nevada Preview
The Wolf Pack have a 1-2 record and are coming off a 20-27 defeat in Middle Tennessee. They will face UTEP and North Dakota State next. Offensively, the Wolf Pack score 28 points per game, ranking 89th in the country, while allowing 30.5 ppg defensively, which ranks 90th. The Wolf Pack averages 366 total yards per game, while allowing 342.3 total yards per game.
Carter Jones leads the Wolf Pack with 348 passing yards with 60% completed passes and two touchdowns. Dominic Kelley leads the team in rushing yards with 281, while Gary Givens III has a team-high 4 receptions for 121 receiving yards. EJ Smith leads the team in total tackles with 34, 20 of them solo, while Myles Williams leads the team in sacks, with 1.5.
Air Force Falcons Preview
The Falcons have a 1-1 record and are coming off a 32-38 defeat by North Dakota State at home. They will face Navy and Northern Illinois next. Offensively, the Falcons score 33 points per game, ranking 59th in the country, while allowing 19 ppg defensively, which is 35th. The Falcons averages 418 total yards per game, while allowing 240.5 total yards per game.
Liam Szarka leads the Falcons with 122 passing yards with 53.3% completed passes, adding a team-high 139 rushing yards and 3 rushing touchdowns. Matt Long leads the team in receptions with 3 and has 73 receiving yards. Blake Fletcher leads the team in total tackles with 21, 10 of them solo.
Air Force Falcons @ Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Trends: Week 4
Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win
- Air Force has lost four of its last five September games as a favorite.
- Air Force has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games in September.
- Air Force has lost the first half in four of its last five games in September.
Why the Air Force Falcons will win
- Nevada has lost each of its last 11 September games as an underdog.
- Air Force has won five of its last six games against Nevada.
- Nevada has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine home games against conference opponents.
- The favorite has covered the spread in each of Air Force’s last five games.
- Air Force has won the first half in each of its last seven games against teams from Nevada.
- The road team has won the first quarter in four of Air Force’s last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Nevada’s last eight September games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Air Force’s last four games as a road favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
Nevada Wolf Pack Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Ky Woods ranks 9th amongst FBS players for kick return yards (162) this season.
Air Force Falcons Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Will Duncan ranks 1st amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (56.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Nevada ranks T131st among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (3.3).
- Nevada ranks T130th among FBS teams for sacks this season (1.0).
- Air Force ranks T1st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (100.0).
- Air Force ranks 2nd among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (26).
Air Force vs Nevada Prediction
Both teams suffered losses in the previous game week and Air Force is the most likely team to bounce back today, as their offensive line has looked better lately, with 34 and 32 points scored in their last two matches. On the flip side, Nevada’s offense has not been looking good, as they have scored a total of 27 points in their last two matches and have been having trouble with Air Force historically, having won only once in their last six meetings. They are also 3-5 against the spread in their last 8 meetings, so I expect Air Force to get the job done on the road and cover the small spread.