In this article, we will formulate an Air Force vs Northern Illinois Prediction for this College Football Week 6 matchup on Saturday, October 10th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Northern Illinois Huskies Preview
Northern Illinois has a 0-4 record and are coming off a 14-35 road loss against Georgia State. They will face Wyoming and Hawai’i next. Offensively, Northern Illinois averages 13.8 points per game, ranking 137th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 36.2 points per game, which is 131st. Northern Illinois averages 300.3 total yards per game (221 passing and 79.3 rushing), while allowing 386 total yards per game (154.5 rushing and 231.5 passing).
Taron Dickens leads Northern Illinois with 837 passing yards with 70% completed passes and 3 touchdowns. Telly Johnson Jr. leads the team in rushing yards with 253, while DeAree Rogers has a team-high 31 receptions for 252 receiving yards. Defensively, Kyon Conyers has a team-high 27 total tackles (15 of them solo), while Avery Jones leads the team with 2 sacks.
Air Force Falcons Preview
Air Force has a 3-1 record and a 1-1 record in the Mountain West. They are coming off a 14-9 home win against Navy and will face UNLV and Wyoming next. Offensively, Air Force averages 29 points per game, ranking 74th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20 points per game, which is 48th. Air Force averages 390.3 total yards per game (93 passing and 297.3 rushing), while allowing 286.3 total yards per game (124.3 rushing and 162 passing).
Liam Szarka leads Air Force with 296 passing yards with 50% completed passes and one touchdown, also adding a team-high 391 rushing yards and 7 rushing touchdowns. Simon Kibbee has a team-high 6 receptions for 103 receiving yards. Defensively, Blake Fletcher has a team-high 44 total tackles (22 of them solo), while Max Mustell leads the team with 2 sacks.
Air Force Falcons @ Northern Illinois Huskies Betting Trends: Week 6
Why the Northern Illinois Huskies will win
- Northern Illinois has won eight of its last 11 October games as an underdog.
- Air Force has lost each of its last three road games in October.
- The home team has covered the spread in three of Air Force’s last four games.
- Air Force has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
- The home team has won the first half in four of Northern Illinois’ last five games.
- Northern Illinois has won the first quarter in each of its last nine home games against conference opponents.
Why the Air Force Falcons will win
- Northern Illinois has lost each of its last 12 games as an underdog.
- The favorite has won each of Air Force’s last seven games.
- Northern Illinois has failed to cover the spread in 11 of its last 12 home games.
- The favorite has covered the spread in six of Air Force’s last seven games.
- The favorite has won the first half in each of Northern Illinois’ last eight games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Air Force’s last five games as a road favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Northern Illinois’ last four games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Northern Illinois Huskies Player Prop Facts
- Taron Dickens has recorded 25+ completions in two consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 6.
Air Force Falcons Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Liam Szarka ranks T6th amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Northern Illinois ranks 138th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (0.0).
- Northern Illinois ranks 138th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (79.3).
- Air Force has lost the third quarter in each of its last three games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
- Air Force ranks 2nd among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (297.3).
Air Force vs Northern Illinois Prediction
In this Air Force vs Northern Illinois prediction, Air Force is coming as -7.5 road favorites. Northern Illinois has been winless this season and is 1-3 against the spread and has the second-worst offense in the entire country and the 8th-worst defense, for a -22.4 point differential. On the flip side, Air Force has back-to-back wins and a top-50 defense in the country and I expect them to win this one comfortably against one of the weakest squads currently in the nation. Take Air Force and lay the -7.5 on the road.