The Oregon State Beavers and the Air Force Falcons will meet Saturday in college football action from Falcon Stadium. Here’s an Air Force vs Oregon State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Air Force vs Oregon State pick.
Oregon State Beavers Betting Preview
The Beavers were able to win four of their first five games, falling to Oregon with wins otherwise versus Idaho State, San Diego State, Purdue, and Colorado State. The next three games were all losses to Nevada, UNLV, and California, though.
Matched up against San Jose State, the Beavers gave up 14 unanswered points in the fourth quarter during a 24-13 loss. Ben Gulbranson logged 292 yards with two picks, and Anthony Hankerson led the rush on 30 totes for 121 yards and a score.
Air Force Falcons Betting Preview
Over on the Air Force side, they beat Merrimack 21-6 in their opener then hit a rough losing streak. The Falcons would fall to San Jose State, Baylor, Wyoming, Navy, New Mexico, Colorado State, and Army in the next seven outings.
In Saturday’s game versus Fresno State, Air Force posted a 19-7 second-half advantage during a much-needed win 36-28. Quentin Hayes threw for just 14 yards but rushed for a pair of scores. Dylan Carson led the ground game on 33 carries for 120 yards and a TD of his own.
Why the Air Force Falcons will win
- Air Force has won 12 of its last 13 games against non-conference opponents at Falcon Stadium.
- Oregon State has lost each of its last four games.
- Oregon State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against non-conference opponents.
- Air Force has covered the spread in each of its last three games against opponents from the Pac-12 Conference.
- Air Force has won the first quarter in eight of its last nine games against non-conference opponents at Falcon Stadium.
- Air Force has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against non-conference opponents at Falcon Stadium.
Why the Oregon State Beavers will win
- Air Force has lost seven of its last eight games.
- Oregon State has won four of its last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Air Force has failed to cover the spread in 11 of its last 12 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon State has covered the spread in five of its last six road games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
- Oregon State has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Oregon State’s last four road games in November has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Air Force’s last five games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Air Force vs Oregon State Prediction
I’ll go with Oregon State. The Beavers need a big turnaround here, though. Oregon State was a mess in the San Jose State loss, posting three turnovers and 10 penalties for 97 yards. Otherwise, the offense wasn’t bad with 474 yards (292 passing) and 29 first downs, but coming away with only 13 points after holding the ball for 39:45 is quite the underachievement.
As for Air Force, they got by with their run game (344 yards of 358 total) in the win over Fresno State, logging 10-of-19 on third downs and 24 first downs along the way. Air Force held the ball for a whopping 45:08, which is what they’ll have to do again in order to keep the Oregon State offense off the field this weekend.