Alabama vs Southern Miss 9/25/21 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

The Alabama Crimson Tide meet the Southern Miss Golden Eagles in week 4 college football action from Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa on Saturday night.

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles will have to rebound from a 21-9 loss to Troy in their last game. Trey Lowe and Ty Keyes have each thrown for a touchdown and two interceptions with Lowe throwing for 232 yards on 54.8% passing while Keyes has 207 yards on 52.6% passing. Frank Gore Jr. leads Southern Miss in rushing with 274 rushing yards and a score while Jakarius Caston leads the Golden Eagles in receiving with 7 catches for 88 yards and a touchdown. Defensively, Malik Shorts leads the Golden Eagles with 17 total tackles including a team-high 12 solo tackles while Josh Carr Jr. leads Southern Miss with 2.5 sacks and Eriq Kitchen has a pair of sacks as well this season.

The Alabama Crimson Tide will look to build off of a nail-biting 31-29 win over Florida in their last game. Bryce Young’s thrown for 811 yards and 10 touchdowns on 68% passing while Brian Robinson Jr.’s got a team-high 208 rushing yards and a pair of scores. Jameson Williams leads Bama with 218 receiving yards and a pair of touchdowns while John Metchie III has a team-high 17 grabs for 195 yards. JoJo Earle has 128 receiving yards and Jase McClellan also has a pair of receiving scores as well this season. Defensively, Henry To’o To’o has a team-high 22 total tackles while Phidarian Mathis leads the Tide with 2.5 sacks this season.

Southern Miss is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 non-conference games. Alabama is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a losing record and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 games against C-USA.

It can be tempting to look at the boatload of points here given that it’s not an FCS opponent Alabama’s got here, but realistically, Southern Miss is in a bad spot here. They just got smothered by Troy and now have to take on an Alabama team that’s being questioned if they’re still the kings of the SEC after a close call against Florida. This is going to be a statement game from Alabama. Lay the points, even though it’s a ton.

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